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Economic Democracy and a Guide
to the 2008 Presidential
Election
By Richard C.
Cook
Global Research,
January 10, 2008
The United
States is at a crossroads. In the midst of a stalling economy, a
decline in the standard of living for a majority of the nation’s
population, out-of-control societal debt, growing concentration of
wealth among the upper income brackets, and a stampede toward
totalitarian governance derived from the disastrous Mideast war
policy of the Bush/Cheney administration, an unprecedented number of
people are saying the nation is headed in the wrong direction. Poll
numbers on the performance of both President George W. Bush and the
Democratic-controlled Congress are at historic lows.
2008 clearly
represents an opportunity for the nation’s voters to seek a new
direction. With a presidential election now less than a year away
and the primaries having begun, an abundance of new ideas might be
expected.
First,
Iowa.
The winners
in the Iowa caucuses were those candidates who have been arguing
most forcefully for change. The Democratic winner was Barack Obama,
for whom the word “change” is a mantra. John Edwards, who has made
himself the voice of working class populism, was second. Hillary
Clinton, the candidate of “experience,” finished third, though she
is clearly the “safe” choice of the U.S. mainstream media and
political establishment. Also sounding populist themes was
Republican Mike Huckaby in an unexpected victory achieved perhaps in
part by having at his side for photo ops the comforting presence of
TV strongman/good-guy Chuck Norris.
Moving on to
New Hampshire. There Obama was enjoying a double-digit lead over
Clinton in the polls the night before the primary. Somehow, Hillary
not only erased that lead during the silence of night but forged
ahead to win decisively the next day. Were the pollsters dead wrong
or was the voting system rigged for the establishment favorite? The
controversy has begun to rage, though we will likely never know. In
any case, the Obama momentum has hit a wall.
Meanwhile,
on the Republican side, “Lazarus” John McCain saw his moribund
candidacy revived in a victory over big-spending Mitt Romney. McCain
pulled it out on the basis of no evident rhyme, reason, or
principles. He just seemed to be the familiar Republican voice the
voters felt most comfortable with. Huckaby was in the shadows, there
being few fundamentalist Christian voters in the comfortable
middle-class towns and shires of the Granite State.
But amidst
the hysteria, none of the leading candidates has put forward a
program that will solve the huge problems the country now faces.
In order to
see where we are today, we must examine where we have come from. The
reader is forewarned. This is a long article, with some diversions
into the murky history of U.S. finance. So please be patient.
What follows
first is an overview and analysis of the economics of the modern
industrial age. Such an overview is essential in understanding that
economic issues do not occur in a vacuum, not do they come into
being overnight. Rather what the U.S. faces today is a crisis rooted
in history.
But first,
as to sources. With good reason economics is called the “dismal
science.” Never has it been more dismal than today, with most
economists bogged down in meaningless mathematical modeling of the
free-market economy or in ideological justifications of the status
quo.
One of the
exceptions was John Kenneth Galbraith (1908-2006), New Dealer,
Harvard professor, and prolific historian. The following account
draws in part on Galbraith’s A Journey Through Economic Time: A
Firsthand View, published early during the first Clinton
administration in 1994.
Modern Economics and the Tragedy of Capitalism
Modern
economics deals with the industrial age, which began to emerge in
Western nations by the late eighteenth century. The industrial age
is that period of recent history defined by the application of
mechanical energy—starting with steam power—to the processes of
production, transportation, and communications.
Politically,
the century-and-a-half between the American Revolution (1775-1783)
and World War I (1914-1918) saw a historic struggle between the new
world of emerging capitalism as a method of organizing the
application of industrial power, and the old one of entrenched
feudalism, defined as the control of land by a hereditary
aristocracy. As Galbraith made clear, the power of feudal society
had been broken for good by the time World War I came to an end.
By then,
capitalism, defined as private ownership of the means of production,
had advanced furthest in Great Britain, the U.S., Germany, and
Japan. Close behind were France, Russia, and Italy. Ownership under
this system was secured entirely by the possession of money. Living
side-by-side with a relatively small number of industrial
entrepreneurs and finance capitalists were the growing masses of
landless workers who had relocated from farms to the cities.
Agriculture was also becoming mechanized, but in this case capital
gravitated toward the marketing and distribution of farm products
and to financing of the planting-to-harvest cycle. But even in the
production of food, money, as opposed to human and animal labor,
came to dominate.
But as
Galbraith explained, “the tendency of capitalism [was] to grave
instability,” with workers often losing their jobs during business
“panics” or due to automation. In Great Britain and the U.S., this
instability tended to be viewed as natural, the idea being that any
attempt by the state to interfere in market dynamics would only make
matters worse. As a corollary, the understanding of economics by the
political world, which remained mired in medieval concepts natural
to a landed aristocracy, remained shockingly primitive.
The belief
in the essential “rightness” of the free market was promoted most
strongly by the town merchants and money-lenders who wanted to free
themselves from the restrictions on commerce and capital by the
policies of mercantilism. This was the system by which the kings and
princes of Europe attempted to control commercial activity for the
benefit of their hereditary regimes and the fixed class structure
which they saw as fostering national wealth and social stability.
The new
capitalist economics, by contrast, was transnational in scope, since
money as an abstract concept knew no boundaries. This epochal change
was reflected in what came to be called “classical,” “liberal,” or
“laissez-faire” economics. This set of ideas originated with the
British writers Adam Smith (1723-1790) and David Ricardo
(1772-1823), who saw the private sector and government as mutually
antagonistic. Their theories became the umbrella under which
capitalism began to flourish. In the U.S., this attitude was also in
part a legacy of the American Revolution, whose leaders had deeply
resented interference by the British government with colonial
economic activity.
Their
attitude mirrored the fact that the prosperity of the American
colonies depended in large part on the availability of paper money,
or scrip, that was issued independently of the Crown or Parliament
by the colonial legislatures. This currency fueled commerce even
after new issues were outlawed by the Currency Acts enacted by
Parliament in 1764. While existing scrip continued to circulate, the
shortage of fresh paper money brought on a depression that led
directly to action by the Continental Congress to break with Great
Britain. Once this step was taken, issuance of continental currency
followed as a matter of course.
The
Constitution of 1787 gave the new U.S. government substantial
economic power by granting Congress the right to regulate interstate
commerce, issue money, levy taxes, and borrow on credit. Still, more
than any other nation, the U.S. became the stronghold of free-market
ideology and remains so today. Government was viewed as the
protector of capitalistic enterprise, which accounts for the
radically anti-aristocratic tenor of the American system. But as
with many other forces of history, while it may have started as a
fresh new idea conceived in opposition to the highly regulated
economies of the late medieval period, capitalism as described by
classical theory eventually became the encrusted dogma we live under
today.
Classical
theory was as much an ideology as a product of scientific analysis.
It reflected the way things were supposed to work when the power of
money was unleashed, rather than what actually took place
day-in-and-day-out. For instance, a key argument made by its
proponents as industry developed during the nineteenth century was
that an economy has a natural tendency toward a full-employment
equilibrium. Thus, it was claimed, because labor is a commodity and
workers are natural competitors with each other in vying for jobs,
they would accept wages low enough to ensure a living for all.
Though
workers during the nineteenth century often earned barely enough to
avoid starvation, the system at least was viewed as tending toward
stability. Social Darwinism—survival of the fittest—was a major
factor in justifying miserable social conditions, even though this
new theology replaced ideals of Christian charity with the harshness
of supposed economic necessity. The beneficiaries, of course, were
the rich financiers and industrialists, the Robber Barons of the
era.
Digging
deeper, we find a central dogma in classical economics which
persists today, even though British economist John Maynard Keynes,
writing in the 1930s, effectively demolished it as a concept
informed people believe in. This was that all business earnings
deriving from the sale of goods or services can be defined as
income, and so become available to the economy as purchasing power
when products are brought to market. This mechanism, in classical
theory, is the driving force which supposedly results in jobs for
everyone.
The concept
is know as Say’s Law and is the bedrock belief of all classical
economists who not only control orthodox economic education but who
have carried their beliefs to the point of fanaticism in such
extreme laissez-faire philosophies as Libertarianism, the Austrian
School of Economics, and the supply-side theories that have driven
the Republican Party ideologues of the Reagan and Bush I and II
administrations who have tried to spur economic growth by cutting
taxes on the upper income brackets.
Jean-Baptiste
Say (1767-1832) was a French businessman and economist who edited
and promoted the ideas of Adam Smith. What became known as Say’s Law
stated that the production of goods by an economy automatically
produces the ability of society to purchase those goods, because
earnings from their sale is immediately recycled as purchasing
power. Thus prosperity should always result from any stimulation of
production.
In advancing
his claims Say wrote: “It is worthwhile to remark that a product is
no sooner created than it, from that instant, affords a market for
other products to the full extent of its own value. When the
producer has put the finishing hand to his product, he is most
anxious to sell it immediately, lest its value should diminish in
his hands. Nor is he less anxious to dispose of the money he may get
for it; for the value of money is also perishable. But the only way
of getting rid of money is in the purchase of some product or other.
Thus the mere circumstance of creation of one product immediately
opens a vent for other products. It is not the abundance of money
but the abundance of other products in general that facilitates
sales... Money performs no more than the role of a conduit in this
double exchange. When the exchanges have been completed, it will be
found that one has paid for products with products.” (A Treatise
on Political Economy, 1803, p. 138-9)
By assuming
that producers immediately spend the money they receive as the price
for goods and services, Say overlooked the key fact of capitalist
microeconomics which was that of retained earnings. For an
industrial firm in an age where continued technological innovation
is a fact of life, a considerable amount of earnings must be
retained in order to invest in future improvements. Even if the
retained earnings are deposited in a bank they will not necessarily
result in new spending. This is because, as modern economist Michael
Hudson has demonstrated, bank deposits normally result in lending
for asset purchase rather than capital investment. The latter, by
contrast, is accomplished through capital markets which are a
completely different source of funding than bank lending.
Say’s law
was actually more descriptive of the medieval village economy which
still existed in much of Europe rather than modern heavy industry.
But it took hold and persisted because it achieved a goal the
apologists for capitalism strove mightily to accomplish: to keep
government out of the capitalist marketplace except to provide
police protection for the emerging monetary power.
Although
some astute observers began to suspect that Say’s Law was wrong and
that an endemic “gap” between prices and purchasing power existed in
the capitalist system, the causes of this gap at the microeconomic
level did not appear until the 1918 publication of a book called
Economic Democracy by British engineer Major C.H. Douglas.
Douglas characterized the gap as being reflective of positive forces
by stating that it really represented the appreciation of the
nation’s productive capacity both through the accretion of human
knowledge and the harnessing through mechanization of the bounteous
energy of nature.
In order to
fill the gap between prices and purchasing power, Douglas proposed
that a regular stipend be paid by the government to all citizens,
without recourse to taxation or public borrowing, which he called a
National Dividend. Douglas’s ideas became a political force in Great
Britain and the Commonwealth nations of Canada, Australia, and New
Zealand. It was called the Social Credit movement and continues
today in those countries. But Douglas’s ideas were opposed by the
financiers and their economic apologists because the shortage of
purchasing power he identified by now was being filled after a
fashion by huge amounts of money lent at interest. This economic
fact is what accounts for the enormous economic and political power
of the bankers who rule the world today.
John Maynard
Keynes, writing during the Great Depression of the 1930s, was the
first major economist to reflect what Douglas had been saying for
over a decade by pointing out that all earnings from the sale of
goods and services did not find their way back into the economy.
Keynes said this was because some of the earnings were saved—i.e.,
were withheld from immediate spending by producers and consumers
alike. Thus there occurred a chronic shortage of income that Keynes
said would lead to periodic depressions. As Galbraith—an early
American Keynesian—pointed out, during a depression, a new—and this
time deficient—equilibrium would settle out at a chronic level of
under- or unemployment. It was to break this underperforming state
of an economy that Keynes recommended the use of government deficit
spending as an alternative to private sector bank lending.
This
solution—though imperfect—came into being during the Great
Depression of the 1930s and has persisted. Until then, the notion
prevailed that government would do best to stay out of economic
matters altogether, even if the system produced a permanent division
of society between the haves and have-nots, with the presence of
permanent poverty and a permanent underclass prone to crime and
dissolution. At that point, the discussion turned on whether the
poor were naturally vicious or whether they were victims of their
condition and therefore to be pitied, reformed, or “saved” by some
social or religious do-gooder. Meanwhile, Douglas’s National
Dividend solution was ignored, and Keynes’s ideas, which led
inevitably to the modern Welfare State, were grudgingly implemented
as at least allowing capitalism to continue to exist by forestalling
a socialist revolution in the Western nations.
But the fact
remained that capitalism produced a deeply conflicted society. As
U.S. scholar Page Smith outlined in “The Rise of the Industrial
America: A People’s History of the Post-Reconstruction Era,” the
central problem of the industrial age was “the war between capital
and labor.” This war in the U.S. and Britain was largely won by
capital, though labor eventually got better conditions through trade
unionism and government regulation of industry, as well as a greater
share in the prosperity that science and technology wrought.
Matters were
different elsewhere in the world, particularly in Germany and Japan.
Both of these countries tended to see government and business as
essentially united in the interest of economic development. On
continental Europe, ideas of socialism also had a greater impact
than in the English-speaking world, as did the notion that the state
had a basic responsibility for worker well-being.
The
economies of Germany and Japan were also unique in their toleration
of industrial cartels which operated under state protection. In the
U.S. and Britain, on the other hand, while there were tendencies
toward cartelization through the toleration of business and
financial trusts, the economic ideology was essentially
anti-monopolistic in its view of perfectly functioning free markets.
But there
remained a major anomaly in the position of the U.S., in that it
never gave up its adherence to a protectionist tariff policy in
contrast to the free trade practiced of Britain. Historically, the
purpose of tariffs in the U.S. was to protect the growing capitalist
enterprises against goods produced in Europe by cheap labor. But
even with this major early example of government-sponsored corporate
welfare, laissez-faire remained the predominant dogma of U.S.
business interests.
Going back
to World War I, it was a catastrophe for Europe, where neither the
British nor the German models could protect those nations from
bankruptcy. In Russia the result of the war was revolution leading
to communism. But the United States, which bankrolled the war
through lending, became the world’s financial center. The prosperity
that resulted led to the relative bounty of the 1920s, once the
country shook off the post-World War I inflation and depression. But
this prosperity ended in the collapse of a vast bank-generated
speculative bubble when the stock market crashed in 1929.
The U.S.
government was completely unprepared for the Great Depression.
Upon election in 1932, President Franklin D. Roosevelt was as
committed to laissez-faire economics as his Republican predecessors.
But he and his aides could see that elsewhere in the world,
particularly Italy, Germany, and the Soviet Union, governments were
taking control and rebuilding their national economies, if
necessary, by force.
So the U.S.,
also of necessity, began to implement measures that could be and
were criticized as socialistic but which were still an absolute
requirement for the survival of a functioning nation. Both the
United States and the other Western democracies, along with the
emerging totalitarian states, finally acknowledged that, as a
minimum, vulnerable segments of their populations, such as the
unemployed and the elderly, had a right to at least a small degree
of income security whether or not they had jobs.
One method
employed by the Roosevelt administration to pull the U.S. out of the
Depression was a limited program of wage and price controls under
the National Recovery Act. Job-creation programs were also used,
such as the Public Works Administration, the Works Progress
Administration, and the Civilian Conservation Corps. Social Security
and unemployment compensation came into being, and infrastructure
projects such as the Tennessee Valley Authority and the Boulder and
Grand Coulee Dams provided both jobs and electrical power. The
Reconstruction Finance Corporation provided low-interest loans to
both the public and private sectors, and the Rural Electrification
Administration brought electricity to the countryside.
The face of
modern America was molded by these and other New Deal
government-sponsored programs. Classical economics, it seemed, had
been thrown on the refuse pile of history. At last a full-employment
economy was on its way to being achieved, erected on the ruins of
the free-market economic system that had failed. The main sources of
financing the new system were government borrowing and a stiff
income tax, especially affecting the upper income brackets.
By now the
problem had been recognized among mainstream economists and
politicians—the modern industrial state did not in fact generate
enough purchasing power to support full employment. Keynes and his
followers referred to purchasing power by the term “aggregate
demand.” The creation of sufficient aggregate demand now became the
central objective of governmental economic policy in the U.S. and
other Western industrial nations.
It was World
War II that completed the task in the U.S. of creating a
full-employment industrial economy. The war, with its rationing and
shortage of consumer goods, resulted in so much unspent income for
working people that savings rates soared. This savings provided the
impetus for post-war prosperity all the way through the 1950s and
into the 1960s. The prosperity was buttressed by a favorable trade
balance with respect to the rest of the world which had not yet
recovered from the war. Sale of U.S. goods abroad also benefited
from purchases of American products, including foodstuffs, by other
nations which borrowed from U.S. banks through the International
Monetary Fund.
But by the
1960s, profound changes were stirring. As the U.S. economy slowed,
President John F. Kennedy responded, not by fiscal pump-priming, but
by cuts in income tax rates. The idea was that money could be more
effectively spent by individuals than by the government. While this
may have been true, it was a fact that aggregate social demand had
begun to decline, especially with the diversion of economic
resources into expenditures for the Vietnam War.
Still, by
the end of the 1960s, the U.S. was prosperous enough for President
Lyndon B. Johnson and, to some extent, President Richard M. Nixon,
to contemplate the elimination of poverty once and for all. The War
on Poverty came into being, but at a critical moment around 1970 the
movement to utilize macroeconomics to solve the endemic problem
within a capitalistic system of a permanent division between the
haves and the have-nots ran out of steam. This came with the failure
of the U.S. government to enact a basic income guarantee, also known
at the time as the reverse income tax. The symbolic moment was the
defeat, led by Southern conservatives in the Senate, of Nixon’s
Family Assistance Act in 1970.
Galbraith,
virtually alone among economists, saw the failure to provide a real
solution to poverty as a watershed event. He connected this failure
to military spending by writing, “A highly effective design for
avoiding succor to the poor is to put forward the higher claims of
war, defense, the military.” He noted that in 1972, Senator George
McGovern proposed a negative income tax “that would have provided a
basic underpinning of income for all Americans.” McGovern was
opposed within his own party, most notably by former Vice President
Hubert Humphrey, and the idea never made it to the 1972 election
campaign, where McGovern was soundly defeated by Nixon anyway.
The idea of
unconditional income security, says Galbraith, “was permanently
buried.” It was perhaps the last, best chance for American
capitalism to solve the basic problem of inequality and unfairness
which had caused the ideologies of socialism and communism to appear
so appealing to people around the world for so many decades. It was
a broad-spectrum failure of the capitalistic ruling class to realize
that the bounty of science and technology created the opportunity
for an entire society to rise to a new level of security and
culture, not just those with good jobs or plenty of assets.
Above all,
this can be seen as a spiritual failure, a failure “to love thy
neighbor as thyself.” Instead, the rulers of society chose to
embrace a consumer-based economy, where those with the best
employment and who owned the businesses would luxuriate in “the good
life,” while the rest of the people got along as best they could
with limited opportunity and access to resources.
The point to
be made is that the basic income guarantee—negative income tax—was
not just an “antipoverty” measure. It was a guarantee of income
security to the entire nation. No person would ever have to fear
permanent loss of income and the degeneration of status,
humiliation, and ill health that go with it. No one would have to
fear these things befalling relatives, parents, or children. Without
income security, an entire nation—or world—becomes subject to an
ever-present emotion of fear. Lack of income security in a
capitalistic economy makes fear and other negative emotions the
predominant coloring of individual and social life. Many people then
pray to God for deliverance when the cause is economic and social
institutions engendered by the wealthy controllers of society.
The 1970s
was a decade of economic disasters. As this author wrote in his
recent article, “Crisis in the U.S.: Plan B?”: “The 1970s had seen
catastrophic economic developments. It started with the removal of
the gold-peg to the dollar in 1971 and continued with the explosion
of U.S. currency on the international scene due to the petrodollar,
soaring trade and fiscal deficits, action to permanently mortgage us
to military-backed dependence on imported Middle Eastern oil, a
permanent tilt in favor of Israel vs. the Islamic world, and,
finally, the galloping 1970s inflation. These events led to the
Fed-induced crash of 1979-1983 which left us with today’s travesty
of a ‘service’ economy.”
The 1970s
were followed by the “Reagan Revolution” of 1980-1988, which
continued through the Bush I administration until the election of
Bill Clinton in 1992. In the words of Galbraith: “Tax reduction
oriented to the affluent, unduly enhanced defense expenditure, and a
large deficit in the federal budget were the prime manifestations of
error. Related was a large and persistent deficit in the American
balance-of-payments account, causing the United States to shift from
being the world’s largest creditor to being, by a wide margin, its
largest debtor. There was erosion of the nation’s competitive
economic position, social tension in the big cities, financial
speculation and manipulation extending on to widespread and unsubtle
larceny and, in the end, the painful recession cum depression of the
early 1990s.” (A Journey Through Economic Time: A Firsthand View,
p. 210.)
Galbraith
acknowledged Reagan’s remarkable success in one particular area:
“The striking achievement of the Reagan policies…was the improvement
he made in the fortunes of the affluent and the rich while visiting
neglect upon the poor. Here the results are beyond question. No one
will ever have any reasonable doubt that Mr. Reagan did keep faith
with his constituency.”
What was
called “Reaganomics” was a unique hybrid in combining the worst
features of laissez-faire capitalism in turning the economy over to
deregulated business interests—particularly financial
institutions—with Keynesian-style deficit spending consisting
largely of a massive windfall for the military-industrial complex.
Note too that most of the profits from military spending—deriving in
particular from development of the technology-rich military
infrastructure characteristic of the U.S. with its emphasis on air
and sea power—went to the affluent who provided the backbone of
political support to the Republican Party. The military-industrial
complex ever since has flourished due to corporate welfare at its
very worst.
Naturally a
military establishment so endowed with borrowed dollars for which
they are essentially never accountable would exercise itself on
behalf of whatever the controlling parties sought to accomplish by
way of foreign wars. First we had the “Reagan Doctrine” of proxy
wars in El Salvador, Nicaragua, Angola, and Afghanistan, leading to
the Bush I wars in Panama and Iraq, transitioning into Bill
Clinton’s military excursions into the Balkans, then culminating in
the explosion of military conflict in Afghanistan, Iraq, and perhaps
now Iran under President George W. Bush.
Again, it
has all been paid for with borrowed money, even as the Reagan tax
cuts for the rich were, under Bush II, renewed and extended. And, in
the ultimate Keynesian insult to any lingering notion of fiscal
prudence, the wars of George W. Bush haven’t even appeared in the
federal budget. They have been paid for by “supplemental”
appropriations enacted by a compliant Congress coerced into showing
that they, like the president, “support the troops.”
From
Reagan’s first administration until today, the income and wealth
gaps between rich and poor have deepened. Public and private
industrial and service infrastructures, including public school
systems, have crumbled, even as private consumer expenditure, led by
the comfortable and well-off, has soared. Economic growth during the
Reagan years was driven by luxury products for the rich and
credit-card spending by the middle class.
From all
this, a personality type has emerged which defines those at the top
of our culture. Immaculately-dressed, including the finest designer
clothes; well-manicured and enjoying the best of health
care—including plastic surgery and beautification spruce-ups; a
sex-life buoyed by Viagra and Cialis; well-invested and occupying or
retired from the best jobs in business, the professions, and the
military; with personalities that are demanding, petulant,
conceited, haughty, refined, sophisticated and knowledgeable in
regard to utilizing the finest consumer products available; with
their looming hysteria kept at bay by prescription anti-depressants;
and mostly solidly Republican, though sometimes molded in
pro-business Clintonesque tradition of the Democratic Leadership
Council: these are the people in charge of the U.S. today.
This class
of privileged Americans embodies the abject failure of capitalism
since it firmly and finally turned its back on any real intent of
fairness, equality, or sharing of the bounty deriving from the
industrial age. Again, the denial of responsibility began in earnest
with the rejection of proposals for a basic income guarantee in the
late 1960s and early 1970s. It continued with the Reagan Revolution
and the Reagan tax cuts. It marched on through the Clinton years and
has now achieved full flower in the proto-fascism of the Bush-Cheney
administration. Each of these political phases has been floated by a
financial bubble—the merger/acquisition buyout bubble during the
Reagan/Bush I years, the dot.com bubble of the Clinton presidency;
and the housing/equity/hedge fund bubble of the Bush II economy.
The values
of the privileged world which have subsisted inside these bubbles
are based upon “ownership.” People define themselves not by what
they are, but by what they possess. This extends into their social
activities and affiliations, which are a type of possession.
What house,
what car, what clothes, what furnishings; where they vacation and
how they travel; the gifts they give and the ones they get; the
schools they went to and the ones their children attend; their
music, their tastes, their celebrations: all are manufactured to
suit the upscale image.
This world
is defined by a word: “consumerism.” It’s what keeps the wheels of
the economy turning, because a constant “cash flow” must be
generated to keep trade, jobs, and taxes in motion. There is never
any rest, except with medication, never any introspection, unless in
“yoga classes.” Individuals themselves are in a perpetual state of
fantasy, frustration, and anger, as any service industry worker
knows who has been on the receiving end of an angry consumer
complaint.
The nature
of the consumer society was aptly defined by Mike O’Flaherty in a
1999 article in Baffler 12 entitled, “Rockerdämmerung.”
Speaking of the music industry in terms that apply to all lines of
consumerism he wrote: “Planned obsolescence, the promise of the new
and improved, the sneer of willful cultural amnesia—these are the
values of the marketplace, radical only in their destructiveness…All
around the world, people are losing their ability to imagine
anything outside the eternal present of a transnational corporate
capitalism, the depth and breadth of which now seems virtually
limitless. And they are beginning to forget that anyone ever
imagined something beyond it.”
With
Reaganomics and what has followed, the takeover of the world by
consumerist/capitalism has almost been completed. Within their world
the affluent who oversee this culture reside in a bubble of vanity
and denial. Above all, this class of Americans is convinced, from
the bottom of their hearts, that war is a good thing if: a) if it
can be rationalized as being caused by the alleged actions of
foreign evildoers; and b) if the Americans who die in the war are
the sons and daughters of poor people.
But the poor
people are the flies in the ointment. One of the biggest economic
problems in the U.S. today is the shortage of minimum wage workers
for the necessary service jobs. It’s why the rich welcome
“undocumented workers.” Unfortunately, there is nowhere left in
America where service industry workers can even afford to live. The
ever-growing underclass upon which the affluent depend is
increasingly in danger of poverty, incarceration, or even
extermination due to the collapse of health and social services. And
increasingly the underclass consists of former members of the middle
class who can’t get decent jobs or jobs with benefits. This has
engendered a level of fear and frustration which is doubtless a
driving force in the populist politics of the 2008 presidential
campaign.
Much of the
underclass is hidden from view. Many live with their parents or in
group houses that used to be the homes of middle class families.
Taking a broader view, the underclass now can be said to include
literally hundreds of millions of people or more, because many are
living in foreign nations which, on our shrinking globe, are
actually the slums of the global system.
The
underclass includes the more than two million U.S. citizens in
prison, almost a million homeless, millions more of illegal
immigrants working at jobs below the minimum wage, plus millions
abroad who work in sweatshops or slavery-like conditions assembling
consumer products for American markets. Then there are the millions
in nations whose labor services the debts their countries owe to the
International Monetary Fund or foreign banks and investors.
Again back
at home there are millions more Americans in debt to financial
institutions, including those who must work for years to pay off
student loans, probably a million women who work in the sex industry
just to survive, and millions of college graduates who can’t get
decent jobs, so are employed in “food service” and the like.
Finally, we
should mention the million or more in the Middle East who have been
killed or displaced by Bush/Cheney-initiated wars, plus the millions
in underdeveloped nations who languish outside or on the fringes of
the global system.
Many of
these human beings may be regarded as the throwaway refuse of
capitalism. But worldwide a revolt is growing. The chief alternative
to American-style capitalism can be found in Russia, which today is
seeing a resurgence which the U.S. establishment loathes and fears.
Russia’s success lies in its increasingly potent and effective
combination of market economics combined with the socialist
institutions left over from Soviet days.
After all,
communism had succeeded in mastering the intricacies of heavy
industry. It was in the areas of consumer production and political
freedom that brought communism to a halt. The new Russia has
addressed those problems to a considerable degree. Contrary to the
fulminations of the Washington Post, Russia is today a
democracy with vastly improving living conditions. Similar
conditions are being established in Venezuela by the government of
Hugo Chavez and are starting to appear in other Latin American
nations, such as Argentina, which have broken away from the
“Washington consensus.”
These
reflections leave us with the inescapable conclusion that overall,
the most salient fact of modern economics is that of the tragedy of
capitalism. The system is tragic because it diverted the
productivity of science and technology, which is neutral with
respect to political ideology and which is capable of producing its
material bounty under a diversity of systems of ownership, to a
condition of terrible abuse by the property-owning class.
It might
have been a relatively simple matter for the capitalist class to
share the good things of life which are so capable of easing the
burden of human life. Instead, they have monopolized this bounty for
themselves and their families and associates to the detriment of the
majority of the people of the world. They have created for
themselves a legal, ideological, and physical fortress and ringed it
with police forces and armies. Rather than allowing the modern age
to become increasingly democratic and altruistic, they have created
a dictatorship of the financial elite. It is now a dictatorship that
is hardening to protect itself.
With the
2008 U.S. presidential election, it should be the task of the
candidates to challenge this dictatorship and find a way for a
peaceful transition to a new economic paradigm. But while they call
for change, there is no indication the candidates know what to
change.
The
U.S. Banking System
A special
word is in order for the U.S. banking system which has played such a
dominant role in the economic events of recent decades. It is this
system which forms the power base of the dictatorship of the
financial elite.
Of course
banks have existed for millennia. Because the history of banking and
finance have been treated in several other articles by this author
that have appeared during the last several months on Global Research
and other websites, that information will not be repeated here.
It is
important to note, however, that throughout history, banks have
always operated under some kind of charter or license from the
prevailing political authority—or have been owned by that
authority—and that they have served a variety of purposes. Thus
banking and politics have always gone hand-in-hand.
Overall,
banks have served four main purposes—one legitimate, one dubious,
one puzzling, and one deeply flawed.
The first
purpose—a legitimate one—is to facilitate commerce. It is often
cheaper for a business to borrow capital from a bank than to
stockpile cash itself. This was the purpose of the state banking
system in the U.S. prior to the Civil War. The state-chartered banks
existed to provide working capital for commercial transactions, such
as stocking inventory, or for business expansion. Use of banking for
these purposes was tied to specific commercial activities—the “real
bills” doctrine. Of course credit used for this purpose has a cost
which is factored into prices. When these loans are repaid, they are
canceled at the bank which thus removes purchasing power from the
economy. This is another area, besides retained corporate earnings,
that contributes to the gap between prices and purchasing power
identified by C.H. Douglas. But lending for commerce itself remains
a legitimate activity.
The second
use of banking—the dubious one—is for capital formation in the
creation of new businesses, a function which overlaps with capital
markets such as the stock exchanges. But this use very easily turns
into lending for speculation by permitting investors to borrow money
in order to buy stock on margin or to “leverage” investing by
borrowing money in order to purchase whole companies. The costs of
this borrowing also show up in consumer prices without introducing
any new purchasing power into the system.
This
practice has mushroomed in recent decades starting with the
buyout/merger/acquisition mania of the 1980s and has reached
disastrous proportions through the creation and growth of equity and
hedge funds. The use of bank borrowing for such speculative purposes
is an obvious abuse that should not even be legal. It is actually a
form of theft from the nation’s natural and normal store of credit
that should be carefully administered by competent public
authorities as a utility as critical to social health as the water
supply.
The third
use of banking—the puzzling one—is for consumer credit. This
includes borrowing for big purchases such as buying houses and
automobiles, or small ones such as items bought with credit cards.
Increasingly it includes purchasing even the necessities of life
such groceries.
Buying an
object with a credit card often means that a person cannot afford to
buy it at the present moment. So the person is gambling that he or
she will be able to pay off this loan—including interest—at some
point in the future. What is puzzling is that in the midst of what
is claimed to be the most productive economy in the history of the
world, why are most people so poor that they cannot buy what they
need to live with the proceeds of their present earnings? This is
the ultimate repudiation of Say’s Law and its
derivatives—Libertarianism, supply-side economics, and the like.
The fourth
use of banking—the one that is deeply flawed—is the financing of
government inflation through purchase of public debt instruments
which allow deficit financing of public activities, most
particularly the waging of war. Banking for the purpose of financing
war has a long pedigree, going back to the medieval times where
kings were perpetually in hock to the money-lenders. Today we have
the national debt, which has been used primarily for war, as well as
for the Keynesian pump-priming described previously. A classic case
of the use of banking for deficit financing of war is the borrowing
by the federal government under the Bush/Cheney administration to
raise the trillion dollars already spent on the Iraq and Afghanistan
wars.
The use and
misuse of private sector banking within the U.S. for these purposes
has never been greater. By the late 19th century, banks
had begun to own significant amounts of the stock in other
industries, so were becoming key players in economic growth and
development. But much more money became available for bank lending
once the Federal Reserve System came into existence in 1913 and the
Sixteenth Amendment to the Constitution was enacted which allowed
the government to raise huge amounts of money through the income
tax. It was these tax proceeds which enabled the government to
borrow. The government debt in turn collateralized the massive bank
lending which became characteristic of much of twentieth century
economic growth. What really drove this growth has been
technological innovation. The wealth from this growth has been
skimmed by the financial elite.
The system
allowed the U.S. to float the loans to the World War I combatants
which effectively shifted world financial power to this country over
the next decade. It allowed the explosion of speculative lending
through the 1920s which led to the 1929 crash. At that point,
banking took a back seat with respect to government policy, even
though interest rates for bank borrowing were lowered. The trouble
was that no one could afford to borrow any longer, so the cheap
credit went unused. During the New Deal and continuing through World
War II and beyond, the banks mainly played their traditional role as
commercial lenders, because the government had taken over much of
the issuance of credit for economic growth and investment.
Then
starting in the 1950s and the 1960s, the banks gradually expanded
their speculative lending activities until the inflation of the
1970s made lending unprofitable. At this time, the Federal Reserve
took it upon itself to put on the brakes by plunging the nation into
the worst economic decline since the Great Depression.
The
recession of 1979-1983 was a totally lawless action by the banking
industry. When Paul Volcker made his decision to act, he took
President Jimmy Carter by surprise. As described in William
Greider’s history of this era, Secrets of the Temple, even
the conservative Reagan administration was nonplussed.
But the
banks by now had seized the upper hand, a milestone that was built
into the structure of the economic system and made permanent by the
banking deregulation of the 1980s. The banks now were free to
inflate and deflate economic bubbles as much as they liked. As
stated earlier, we had the buyout/merger/acquisition bubble of the
1980s, ending in the Bush I recession, the dot.com bubble of the
Clinton years, ending in the stock market collapse of 2000, and the
housing, equity, hedge fund, derivative, and stock market bubbles of
the 2000s engineered by Alan Greenspan in order to support the wars
of the Bush/Cheney administration.
Thus a
semblance of prosperity has been created by the banking
system—accompanied by inflation, growing wealth disparities,
consumerism, and the ultimate loss of assets by the middle class.
Finally,
these bubbles would have been impossible without modern methods of
electronic processing and cash management, whereby nightly deposits
by businesses through use of “repos”—repossession agreements—created
a huge boost in banking reserves that allowed them to turn on the
lending like tap water. It was the data processing revolution which
facilitated the current catastrophe.
The net
results of the banking-based economy have been profits to the
financial industry exceeding $500 billion a year, combined with
total societal indebtedness—including personal, consumer, business,
and government debt—approaching $50 trillion. No one in public or
private life has any idea what to do about this debt except to keep
borrowing to roll over the increasing payments until the dollar is
blown away by inflation. Meanwhile, the amounts of money have been
so great and the knowledge of how to manage it so small, the U.S.
political system, traditionally ignorant of financial matters, has
given up trying to cope.
Instead, all
eyes are constantly riveted on the Federal Reserve and its chairman,
currently Ben Bernanke. The idea that the central bank should be the
controlling factor in economic decision-making and for these
policies to be carried out through manipulation of interest rates is
what is called “monetarism.”
Thus the
Fed—an institution that calls itself “independent within the
government” but whose branches are owned by the banks—has control
over the entire economy. This control is, and should be, the most
important function of national life. But the U.S. at its core can be
called neither a democracy nor a republic, given any reasonable
definition of those terms. The crash of 1979, for instance, was the
most important economic event since World War II. But it was an
extra-legal action by a revolutionary power. This revolutionary
power was and is synonymous with the U.S. financial elite.
A
Deeper Look at Credit
Where do the
banks get the money—i.e., the credit—they lend? They do not get it
from their depositors. Money held on deposit is part of a bank’s
reserves, as is the federal debt instruments they hold in providing
credit to the government. The money they lend is created, as John
Maynard Keynes wrote, “out of thin air,” through the banks’
fractional reserve privileges.
But as this
author has made clear in previous articles, it is really the
nation’s natural store of credit which the banks are using. Credit
is actually the ability of the nation to engage in productive
economic activity aided by the powers of nature—sunshine, rain, the
fecundity of the earth. The banks are allowed to monopolize this
natural store of credit by the laws of the land. It’s a form of
privatization which is much worse, much more egregious and
destructive, than any other form of corporate welfare in existence.
The banks
are granted by Congress and the state legislatures a monopoly on
credit creation by which they control all of economic life. It’s a
travesty which negates democracy at every step. In reality, this
natural store of credit should belong to the public and be
administered by the government in some equitable way. But the banks
have stolen the privilege, and the politicians allow it to go on in
the most negligent fashion.
Not only do
the banks use this store of credit to lend as they please, they
charge interest for its use. Again as noted in other articles, what
we have in fact is a system of institutionalized usury, bringing up
the age-old question of the morality of interest rates.
It has long
been accepted by reasonable people that any charging of interest
should reflect a normal level of profit plus risk in order for the
practice to be ethically acceptable. The idea that interest is an
end in and of itself to be used for financial policy, as is done by
the Federal Reserve, is a deeply flawed result of monetarism and has
no basis in legitimate economic theory.
What the
Federal Reserve did in 1979 and continues to do today is simply to
facilitate a system of loan-sharking—a form of racketeering.
Particularly notable examples today are the high rates of interest
charged for credit card use and exploitation of college students by
lending money to them for higher education. Thus students are in
thrall to the banks for much of their future with loans that may not
even be liquidated through bankruptcy.
Now, today,
the banking system has become so overextended by its illegitimate
activities that it is crashing. This is naturally to be expected. No
one should be surprised, and no one should expect a different
outcome. Rotten fruit stinks and is harmful for us to eat. Even
mainstream writers such as Martin Wolf of the Financial Times
recognize that the financial industry is totally out of control. In
a November 27, 2007, article entitled, “Why Banking is an Accident
Waiting to Happen,” Wolf wrote, “What seems increasingly clear is
that the combination of generous government guarantees with rampant
profit-making in inadequately capitalized institutions is an
accident waiting to happen – again and again and again. Either the
banking industry should be treated as a utility, with regulated
returns, or it should be viewed as a profit-seeking industry that
operates in accordance with the laws of the market, including, if
necessary, mass bankruptcies. Since we cannot accept the latter, I
suspect we will be forced to move towards the former.”
But there is
another reason the banks have become so powerful, one that few have
recognized. There are underlying reasons for the present financial
crisis that go well beyond a simplistic explanation based on the
psychology of human greed or arguments pertaining to “the war
between capital and labor.” The whole war may be unnecessary, just a
red herring. Because in a system that creates abundance, why should
people be fighting as though we are facing scarcity? There is
something here that just doesn’t make sense. Modern industry
produces abundance, not scarcity. Why then are so many people in the
world poor and becoming poorer?
We return to
the issue of prices being liquidated by purchasing power, the
central dogma of classical economics, the critique of that dogma by
Keynes and his supposed solution, which has proved not to be a
solution at all, just a postponement of the inevitable collapse.
The issue
pertains to facts referred to previously that were discovered by C.H.
Douglas almost a century ago. As stated previously, Douglas was the
founder of the British Social Credit movement. Returning to the
error in classical economics and Say’s Law that prices charged for
goods and services are completely self-liquidating by the generation
of income, Douglas showed that for a variety of reasons, most
notably the necessity of retained earnings and the inclusion in
prices of the costs of borrowing, sufficient income is never
returned to the producing economy in order for people to purchase
what can be manufactured.
But again,
Douglas did not say, as did Keynes, that the “gap” should be filled
by government borrowing to increase aggregate demand. Instead,
Douglas said that the gap should be viewed as a benefit accruing to
all of society from having a highly-productive economy where
everyone does not have to work all the time in order to prosper.
Today, the
“gap” is imperfectly filled by government borrowing and by consumer
and business borrowing as well. In fact, the power and influence of
the banking industry over society occurs because it is the banks,
utilizing society’s store of credit, which fill the “gap” through
lending, to their own profit.
In other
words, Douglas showed how the industrial economy can be made to work
for the benefit of all. The “gap,” which all post-Keynesian
economists know—or should know—exists, should be filled by direct
payments to individuals by the government, either in the form of a
National Dividend or price subsidies. This is the real solution to
the central problem of modern economics. A form of this dividend
already exists in the U.S. through the Alaska Permanent Fund.
As stated
earlier, the National Dividend solution has been known in the
English-speaking world since Douglas published his epic work
Economic Democracy in 1918. The Social Credit movement which
eventually formed became a political force in Britain, Canada,
Australia, and New Zealand and still exists.
But
Douglas’s ideas were largely suppressed in the mainstream media and
by orthodox economic teaching. The Times of London made a
decision in the 1920s, for instance, that Douglas would never be
mentioned in its pages. Douglas visited the U.S. in the 1930s and
was told to his face by representatives of the financial elite that
he would not be allowed to present his ideas in this country. Today,
at long last, Douglas and Social Credit are finally beginning to be
known. See, for instance, the new article on “Economic Democracy” in
Wikipedia.
Following is
an explanation of Social Credit by Wallace Klinck of Alberta,
Canada, one of the world’s leading proponents of Douglas’s ideas. In
his comments, Klinck explains the price-income mechanism that
defines the National Dividend paradigm:
“Consumer
prices include all allocated capital charges as additions to price
which are necessary from an accountancy standpoint but which do not
distribute equivalent incomes within the same cycle of production.
“Thus
consumer prices include allocated charges which do not distribute
incomes in respect of capital. That is, money is collected from
consumers prematurely, and cancelled in repayment of bank debt
incurred previously by loans issued to producers, as if to represent
that our real capital is being consumed currently, whereas it is
actually consumed or depreciated over a considerable period of time.
“The
resultant disparity (i.e., the “gap”), growing increasingly as
capital replaces labor as a factor of production, between final
consumer prices and distributed effective consumer income, is
currently ‘bridged’ by ever expanding issues of credit issued, or
created, via repayable bank loans. Of course, this means that
charges for financial costs in respect of one cycle of production
are not fully liquidated within that cycle but merely passed on, or
‘carried over,’ as an inflationary charge to be recovered from
future cycles of production. That is, one cannot liquidate, formally
and finally, financial charges of today by issues of bank credit
(i.e. debt) which become a further charge carried forward against
future cycles of production. Such issues of credit may allow a large
measure of consumer access to final consumer goods, at the expense
of exponentially burgeoning debt and decreasing financial liquidity
and progressive price inflation, but they do not cancel the
financial costs of production as currently accounted—even though the
real, i.e., physical, costs of production have been fully met when
consumer goods take their finalized form and are ready for purchase.
“The
essential problem is that the consumer is charged in prices, quite
properly, with capital depreciation, but, quite wrongly, not
credited with capital appreciation, which latter historically
greatly exceeds the former. That is, realistically, we should have
with passage of time a falling price-level with a growing source of
income received independently of any incomes earned through paid
work by participation in commerce or industry. The core mechanisms
proposed by Douglas to rectify this revealed progressive error in
national accountancy were the National Dividend and the Compensated
Price (compensation of consumer prices at point of retail sale)
financed by an issue of non- cost-creating consumer ‘credits’
issued, without being recorded as repayable debt, from outside the
price-system to increase financial independence for the individual
citizen and to effect a continuously falling price-level as the true
physical cost of production falls over time.
“The true
cost of production is the mean ratio, as measured in monetary units,
of national consumption divided by that of production--always
becoming increasingly less than a numerical value of one, as real
efficiency increases with the use of new technology. Inflation of
prices thus will be seen to be a fundamental violation of natural
law. Money is essentially an information system. Inflation of prices
is an indication of inefficiency or economic failure and is an
abstract financial denial of the magnificent real advances which
modern civilization has made in the realm of actual physical
production efficiency.
“These new
Social Credit consumption credits advocated by C.H. Douglas would as
always already have previous debt claims against them in retail
prices and will be cancelled, just as is money issued via consumer
bank loans at present is cancelled, when businesses receive them via
retail sales and use them to repay their issuing banks in settlement
of their earlier commercial loans contracted in the usual manner for
the facilitation of business operations. Money recovered by industry
via price and replaced to capital reserve has a similar effect to
its use for repayment of existing bank loans inasmuch as it is no
longer available as consumer income and can only become so by
reissue for a whole new cycle of production which creates a complete
new and additional set of financial costs.
“Social
Credit challenges the historic orthodox acceptance of Say’s Law
which states axiomatically that for every financial cost of
production incurred an equivalent amount of financial purchasing
power is issued and no overall deficiency of income can exist. While
it may be true that ‘at one time or another’ in the past an
equivalent amount of financial payments may have been issued, this
is of little help or consolation to consumers if an increasing
proportion of such income has been permanently canceled as effective
income and is no longer available for purchase of goods which are
currently emanating from the production system.”
To conclude
this section, we return to the late 1960s and the failure by the
U.S. government to enact a basic income guarantee or a negative
income tax.
We now see
that what should have been proposed instead, and what would have
introduced real economic democracy and given the capitalist system
real human value was the National Dividend.
But it was
never embraced, because the banks were making so much money off the
system’s failures and social conservatives were unwilling to “pay
people for doing nothing.” The banks were the ones financing the gap
between prices and income, and they wanted things to stay that way.
The social conservatives, led by Southern conservatives, were
motivated in part by racism. But they were also content to
perpetuate a system where only the rich who live off their
investments can be idle. Everyone else is condemned by Adam’s curse
to labor from cradle to grave.
And that
leaves us where we are right now. We have a monetary system that is
entirely debt-based. Money is lent at interest then must be repaid,
with the issuance of credit being canceled and the banks skimming
the cream through interest. This is why our economic system is such
a rat-race and why economic “growth” is so imperative. People must
constantly produce and sell more in order to pay off the debt and
the interest on the debt. Corners are cut, corporations veer out of
control, pollution is ignored, taxes are evaded, and the quality of
life for most of society erodes.
The
situation is much worse with a mature, slow-growth economy like the
U.S. than with developing economies such as those of China and
India. The ill effects are multiplied whenever interest rates rise
against real income. But even when rates are cut to a de facto level
of zero, as Japan has done, the economy has become so saturated with
debt that no more can be sustained. In the U.S. today, the economic
ship is sinking, and the banks are running around on the deck
offering to loan people a very limited number of life preservers, of
course at considerable profit to themselves.
Again, the
root cause of the modern economic crisis is the debt-based monetary
system which benefits the financial elite above all and which is
founded in greed and fear. The crisis is ultimately spiritual, where
those who covet the earth’s resources steadfastly refuse to observe
the injunction of Jesus to “love their neighbors as themselves.”
Some people wish to live by enslaving others. The slaves fight over
the leftovers. That’s really all there is to it. But God is just,
and such a system must sooner or later collapse into dust. It’s the
law of cause-and-effect. Karma, some call it.
So are any
of the presidential candidates truly trying to prevent the ship from
sinking or are they just making rhetorical noise?
The
Presidential Candidates
In order
even to begin to redress the major problems caused by the Bush II
presidency, the immediate requirement which rushes to the fore is
that of reducing the disastrous federal deficit. At a minimum, any
serious candidate who is elected president will have to enact a
major increase in federal income tax rates, especially for the
higher income brackets. The Bush II tax giveaways which turned the
$300 billion Bill Clinton surplus into a $500 billion deficit must
be reversed.
Secondly, it
will be impossible to continue the massive amount of borrowing which
has financed the U.S. war machine in its military adventures in the
Middle East and have a functioning economy at the same time. This
borrowing, along with the supply-side tax cuts, has wrecked the
federal budget and must be eliminated
No matter
what any of the candidates say, these are the only two financial
measures within the framework of the existing system that can have
any immediate impact.
Next, a lot
of money will be needed to finance the legitimate functions of
government which the Bush/Cheney regime has neglected. More funding
will be needed for Social Security and Medicare, though both
programs could easily be replaced with real income security under a
Social Credit/National Dividend system. How these entitlements will
be funded through the existing system in the face of the sharp
decline in the standard of living for the middle class is impossible
to fathom. Additional tax revenues are simply not available from an
electorate for whom an estimated forty percent of income currently
is paid in taxes at the federal, state, and local levels. And with
the weakening of the U.S. dollar, endless infusions of funds from
foreign investors to float the U.S. trade and fiscal deficits are
not likely to be available without a fire sale on U.S. real estate
and other assets.
Nevertheless, the 2008 election is one about “change.” In the polls,
over 70 percent of Americans say the country needs to find a new
direction. This is a staggering number. Of course it leaves 30
percent who think things are just fine. This 30 percent provides the
core support for those Republican candidates who want to “stay the
course” with the war and the economy, which they are characterizing
as fundamentally strong. The status quo candidates include John
McCain, Mitt Romney, and Rudy Giuliani. The differences among these
three in substance are minuscule. All effectively are successors to
Bush/Cheney in claiming to be strong in the War on Terror and
satisfied that the economy has an acceptable future. None are
worried about any of the inequities and concerns that are so obvious
to a majority of Americans.
The
Republicans
The
Republican Party, from its foundation, was the political expression
of American capitalism, laissez-faire economics, and private sector
control of the economy. This does not mean that the entire U.S.
financial elite is Republican. The elite uses both political parties
in different ways. But the Republicans certainly provide the most
convenient cover for keeping populist government at bay. One way it
does this is to use the media to distract voters with debates over
“social issues,” such as abortion or gay marriage, so they will
ignore the real economic problems of income equity and wealth
distribution.
It was the
Republican Party that was in power during the Roaring 20s which led
up to the Great Depression. It was the Republican Party, under
Nixon, that was in charge during the disasters of the early 1970s.
It was the Republican Party that controlled the White House during
the Reagan Revolution. Even during the Clinton years from 1992 to
2000, the federal government, with cutbacks in federal employment
and expenditures, was largely out of the picture except for the
strong dollar policies which brought in the foreign investment that
financed the dot.com boom. Then from 2000 until today, the
Republican Party has been the chief enabler of the Bush/Cheney
catastrophe.
All of the
Republican candidates except Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul are
essentially asserting that economic fundamentals are sound, that
everything is going to be okay, and that they will resist any
attempt by the Democrats to raise taxes. They are all attempting to
tar the Democrats with the age-old brush of being tax-and-spend
liberals. The big lie, of course, is the fact that Reagan and Bush
II were the biggest deficit spenders in history.
Of the
Republican candidates, Mike Huckabee has won support by sounding
themes that are vaguely populist. He has criticized the outrageously
high levels of CEO compensation. He has endorsed the “Fair Tax”—a 30
percent sales tax to replace most other taxes. Of course sales taxes
are regressive and take a larger proportion of income of the poor
and middle class than of the wealthy. This essentially lets rich
people who save or invest off scot-free from contributing to common
social expenses.
No doubt the
Republican candidates find some comfort in the realization that it
is extremely unlikely that any of them will actually be elected
president so will ever have to deal with the economic problems their
ideological purity allows them to deny. If they do have moments
where they believe they may sometimes reside in the White House,
they no doubt realize that as with Bush II, the Middle East wars
give them plenty of excuses for fiscal profligacy and continued
neglect of domestic issues.
Ron
Paul
Ron Paul
represents an interesting political phenomenon. Identified with the
Libertarian movement, Ron Paul is certainly to be commended for his
steadfast opposition to the Iraq war and for calling for the
abolishment of the Federal Reserve as an inflation-causing mechanism
of the financial elite.
But while
Ron Paul favors limited government and the elimination of the
federal income tax—both worthy objectives—he does not explain how
the federal expenditures which form a majority of the budget—Social
Security, Medicare, Medicaid—can be paid for.
Nor does he
explain how the jobs created by federal expenditures—including those
within the military-industrial complex—will be replaced by the
private sector.
The number
one economic issue of the modern industrial age is income security.
Would Ron Paul’s Libertarian ideology of pure laissez-faire
economics provide it, even if there were no Federal Reserve System
to facilitate financial bubbles? The answer is clearly no, for the
reasons which both Douglas and Keynes explained. Libertarian
economics does not address, and has never even recognized, the price
vs. purchasing power gap. It swallows Say’s Law in its entirety. The
Libertarians do not understand and do not want to understand modern
industrial economics. Their own brand of laissez-faire is as
fundamentalist and ideological as the big-government paradigm they
criticize.
But the
Libertarians do possess an important piece of the big picture. It
would in fact be much better if government collectivism stayed out
of private sector production and stopped robbing people of their
substance through high levels of taxation. In fact, Social Credit
and Libertarian economics could make a workable fit. But to achieve
that fit, Ron Paul and his followers would have to abandon the
flawed notion of a currency based on gold and silver. In insisting
on such a currency, Paul resembles, more than any other political
figure, Andrew Jackson, whose 1836 Specie Circular plunged the
nation into a depression by requiring that individuals purchasing
federal land pay for it with metallic currency. Such a currency
today would so sharply reduce money and credit in circulation that
the greatest economic depression in history would take place.
The concepts
of smaller government and lower taxes essentially belong to
classical economics. But what we have gotten instead is a debt-based
currency emanating from a central banking system that seeks to
generate growth by blowing asset bubbles. Another factor the
Libertarians ignore is the creation and management of public
infrastructure which in a modern industrial economy accounts for up
to fifty percent of economic activity. To finance this through taxes
and borrowing, as is done today, is sheer lunacy. Infrastructure and
heavy industry alike actually work best as a regulated cartel. If we
had a well-run system, government infrastructure investment would be
directly funded by grants of money to state and local governments
based on debit entries in a national infrastructure account. Heavy
industry would be financed through the capital markets and retained
earnings, with price support assistance from a Social Credit program
to allow consumers to purchase what they needed at reasonable cost.
The most efficient system is not the dog-eat-dog capitalism of Ayn
Rand’s Atlas Shrugged where business becomes a weapon
reflecting Hobbes’s “war of each against all” or is played as a
financial gambling chip like what Enron did to the energy industry.
Laissez-faire or Libertarian capitalism applied to those elements of
the economy that should be cartelized or regulated is a really bad
idea.
Nor would
Ron Paul’s program the existence of the gigantic and growing
national and international underclass. It would not address the
failure of modern economics to deliver the leisure dividend which
should have been the birthright of everyone in the world.
The
Democrats
All the
Democratic candidates are mouthing populist rhetoric, though the
least populist and most pro-business is Hillary Clinton. The most
populist of the top three is John Edwards. Barack Obama has spoken
to his own vision of the American dream where equality of
opportunity is a reality. But he has offered no viable prescription
for getting there. The only candidate with a truly populist record
is Dennis Kucinich, but his campaign appears over, if it ever really
began. Biden and Dodd have dropped out, and Richardson does not
appear to have anything new to offer.
Hillary Clinton
A November
19, 2007, story in Time written by Joe Klein outlined Hillary
Clinton’s proposals. Klein cited “health care and energy” as the
“big domestic-policy issues.” Clinton favors single-payer universal
health care coverage, but this position is a no-brainer for a
Democratic candidate in a nation whose health care system is a
world-class disgrace.
Clinton does
have a modest energy-independence proposal based largely on
conservation, but one which will have little effect on undoing the
catastrophic consequences of the decisions made in the 1970s to tie
America’s energy future to Mideast oil. Clinton has also telegraphed
the necessity to raise taxes by proposing to make the rich pay more
of their fair share, but she opposes Obama’s idea of extending the
Social Security payroll tax to incomes exceeding $95,000.
Also in
November Clinton delivered a speech to the Economic Club of Chicago
that invoked the need to “strengthen the middle class” by
“incentivising” investment in research and manufacturing. The
purpose would be to provide jobs, particularly in high-tech areas, a
strategy identical to that of Gordon Brown who has succeeded Tony
Blair as Britain’s Labour Party prime minister. Clinton tried to
make this smattering of government interventionism palatable to
political conservatives by stating that it would provide us “with
strategic security.” She asked, “Do we really want the production of
high-tech components of our satellites, our missiles, our planes to
be completely out of our hands?”
Clinton
touched on the problem of the huge federal deficit being floated by
foreign governments by saying, “I’m concerned that countries like
China have so much control over our financial future.” She proposed
resolving the crisis by stating, “I think a return to fiscal
discipline, living within our means, is essential for our long-term
health…It is also critical to whether or not we control our destiny
as a nation.”
In other
words, Hillary Clinton’s platform is identical to that of her
husband Bill’s governing ideology during the 1990s. Bill Clinton,
with help from Vice President Al Gore’s “Reinventing Government”
initiative, slashed the federal payroll and created job growth
through the dot.com bubble which was engineered by Secretary of the
Treasury Robert Rubin’s strong dollar policy that attracted massive
foreign investment. Meanwhile the Clinton administration continued
to oversee the loss of American manufacturing jobs through free
trade programs like NAFTA, with much of the economic growth taking
place in the financial industry. It all ended with the stock market
crash of 2000 and the recession of 2000-2003 which the Federal
Reserve under Alan Greenspan attacked by yet another bubble—the
housing one.
The Clintons
belong to the element of the Democratic Party which believes
government should provide a modest degree of security to ordinary
citizens through a commitment to such social programs as the Earned
Income Credit but that its primary purpose is to get out of the way
so big business can flourish. Again the goal of the strategy is to
create jobs. Thus the Clintons, along with that part of the
Democratic Party allied with the Democratic Leadership Council,
fully embrace the ideology of Reaganite trickle-down economics. They
are in fact supply-siders and so are subject to the same
misunderstandings and failings of all the other laissez-faire
proponents of free-market capitalism who have believed in the
fallacies of Say’s Law.
All this was
likely why in an October 5th interview conducted by Lloyd Grove of
Portfolio magazine, Lynn Forester de Rothschild, the American wife
of Britain’s Sir Evelyn Rothschild, said, when asked by Grove if
Clinton will be “good for business,” replied, “First of all, Hillary
will be good for America. And so if we care about our country —which
all of my fellow capitalists do —we’ll be very pleased that she’s
president.”
The problem
is that the Clinton program has no answer for the calamitous levels
of public, private, and business debt that have grown exponentially
in the last decade and are symptomatic of the larger tragedy of
capitalism in the modern age.
Barack Obama
Obama has
presented an upbeat message of hope and opportunity that focuses on
broad-spectrum improvement in public education, health care,
government ethics, economic growth, job creation, support for
working families, and bringing the Iraq War to an end. He expressed
these ideals most forcefully in his November 7, 2007, speech in
Bettendorf, Iowa: “Reclaiming the American Dream”
Obama has
the benefit of extensive cash resources and the prestige of a Senate
seat that have allowed him to pull together a staff of policy
experts to research and present a smorgasbord of policy proposals.
These do not take us back to the New Deal but are in the more recent
liberal/activist tradition of the Democratic Party and its approach
to the welfare state which seeks to preserve some semblance of the
social safety net while leaving it to the private sector economy to
create jobs. In other words, Obama’s approach is not all that
different from Hillary Clinton’s.
The
following quotes from various experts taken from the internet
characterize Obama’s proposals and the reactions to them among
liberal commentators. Note that nowhere does Obama challenge
financial system fundamentals or address the onrushing economic
crisis which threatens to plunge the nation into deep recession in
2008. Rather he seems to assume a static-state economy that will
continue to have the ability to fund the tinkering around the
periphery that he is advocating.
“Senator Obama has a deep understanding of what has gone wrong for
working families in America. More importantly, he has fresh new
ideas for how to put these families back on track and how to make
government policies work for them.” (Elizabeth Warren, Leo Gottlieb
Professor of Law, Harvard Law School; Author, The Two-Income
Trap: Why Middle Class Mothers and Fathers are Going Broke)
“’The Agenda
to Reclaim the American Dream’ shows that Barack Obama understands
the pressures facing working families and that he has a bold but
achievable vision to address them. Working women in particular —
especially those juggling a job and family responsibilities — will
welcome this plan to help with education, housing and health cost;
paid sick and family leave, and retirement security. Senator Obama
has not only put forth a remarkable blueprint for change, I am
confident he has the consensus-building skills to get it enacted.”
(Jan Schakowsky, Member of Congress, D-IL)
“The Senator
has highlighted the very real challenges that millions of middle
class families confront every day. Real earnings for most Americans
are stagnant, home foreclosures are soaring, millions are without
health insurance, rising tuition is placing a college education for
our children beyond many families’ reach and retirement security has
become elusive. The proposals in this plan represent balanced and
sensible steps toward restoring broadly shared prosperity for
American workers and their families.” (Edward Montgomery, Dean,
University of Maryland; former Acting Deputy Secretary and Deputy
Secretary of United States Department of Labor; former Chief
Economist, Department of Labor)
“Many
American workers, even those with good jobs, are saving little or
nothing for retirement. Previous attempts by the federal government
to encourage savings have led to tax incentives such as IRAs and
401(k)s, which have not been very successful at reaching the working
class. For financial incentives to be effective they must be
accompanied by structural changes that make it easier for the
working poor to get started saving and simple to keep it up. By far
the most effective way to save is to have a portion of every
paycheck automatically deposited into a retirement savings plan. A
simple way to achieve this is to automatically enroll workers into a
savings plan from which they are free to opt out. Automatic
enrollment dramatically increases participation rates, especially
for lower income workers. The Obama plan utilizes this strategy, and
would make the benefits of automatic enrollment available to nearly
all American workers. The plan is smart and cost effective.”
(Richard Thaler, Professor of Behavioral Science and Economics,
University of Chicago Graduate School of Business; co-author,
Nudge: The Gentle Power of Choice Architecture)
“Barack
Obama’s American Dream agenda reminds us that terrorism isn’t the
only threat to America’s working families. Health care crises,
foreclosures, bankruptcy, unaffordable college tuitions, and the
competing demands of work and family pose significant risks to
millions of workers’ economic security. The Obama plan will help to
give every working family an opportunity to increase his or her
family’s standard of living and, at a minimum, secure its place in
the middle class. This is a plan that will make American workers
more productive and provide working families the help they sorely
need.” (Seth Harris, Professor and Director, Labor & Employment Law
Programs, New York Law School; former Counselor and Senior Advisor
to the Secretary of Labor and former Acting Assistant Secretary for
Policy and Deputy Assistant Secretary for Policy, U.S. Department of
Labor)
“Barack
Obama has put forth a plan that boldly addresses the economic
insecurity that many Americans are experiencing. Specifically, it
builds on our progressive tax code to provide incentives and
financial support consistent with the aspirations that Americans
hold. Further, it ensures that consumers have both access and the
information they need to make smart financial choices about credit
and don’t have the rug pulled out from underneath them by predatory
financial firms.” (David Marzhal, Executive Director, Center for
Economic Progress)
“Because
they are complex and poorly targeted, existing tax subsidies for
higher education and retirement saving are failing to provide middle
class families with the support they need. Sen. Obama’s bold
proposal to simplify the financial aid application process and make
education tax credits fully refundable will enable millions of
additional youth to enroll in college and gain the skills that will
lead to higher wage jobs. Obama’s proposals for automatic workplace
pensions and an expanded Saver’s Credit will help tens of millions
of middle class families begin to accumulate retirement wealth. For
too long Democrats have been content to propose narrowly targeted
tax credits that sound good in sound bites, but fall short of the
comprehensive policy solutions that American families need. These
two Obama proposals are the real deal.” (Jeffrey Liebman, Malcolm
Wiener Professor of Public Policy, Harvard University; former
Special Assistant to the President for Economic Policy)
So could
real change be expected under an Obama presidency? This is not a
question that can easily be answered. There seems to be at least a
possibility that when confronted with crisis Obama may have the
personal qualities and ability to think independently needed to
break away from conventional responses. Of course this may be one
reason the political establishment may do everything it can to keep
Obama from ever being elected.
John
Edwards
Former
Senator and 2004 vice-presidential candidate John Edwards is the
only viable Democratic candidate for president who has taken a hard
look at the economic system and pointed to how deeply flawed it
really is. Edwards states that worldwide the system has created a
global society of haves and have-nots which is reflected in
intractable and growing poverty in the U.S. His rhetoric has become
increasingly anti-big business. Part of his prescription is a
massive jobs-creation program. He is unique in that he favors the
creation of a trust fund for children similar to one that has begun
in Great Britain that will help kids with educational expenses and
to get a decent start on adult life.
Even though Edwards has made a credible showing in the three-way
race with Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, he is receiving little
attention from the mainstream media. It seems to be assumed that as
the primaries continue he will fade then disappear. Of the three, he
clearly poses the greatest potential threat to the hegemony of the
financial elite.
Edwards’
most complete explanation of his positions took place in a May 25,
2005, speech he gave at the London School of Economics. Following
are some quotations:
“Today, with
the new global challenges we face, we have storms gathering…It is
the job of our leaders — and it is job for all of us — to understand
these challenges and to prepare for them.
“For
example, right now, we see new global players emerging. Some
historians refer to the last century as the ‘American Century.’ The
21st century could very well belong to Asia. China and India aim to
win a race to the top — not simply to take our low paying jobs.
“Some
believe that China's Gross National Product will soon surpass all
other countries except America's. India's will grow at a similar
pace.
“China and
India's rise on the global economy — and their emergence as more
prominent diplomatic and military powers — will have a profound
impact on America, Britain, the European Union, and Transatlantic
relations.
“I don't
think that we have even begun to understand its consequences.
“We also
have not fully grasped the changes that come from the spread of
information technologies. Thanks to new technology and the power of
knowledge the world will keep shrinking.
“But
globalization also brings tremendous challenges.
“For
example, how do we ensure that the great divide between the ‘haves’
and the ‘have nots’ starts to close? How do we lead so that
developing countries understand that education, market reforms, and
just governments will bring hope to even the most desperate places?
“And in our
world of such wealth and promise, we cannot forget another great
challenge: extreme poverty.
“Close to
half the world's population — more than three billion people live on
less than $2 a day. How do we address this unthinkable human
suffering? How do we win the hearts and minds of young people — the
millions struggling in Africa, or those young orphans from the
tsunami? How do we reach them so they know they can climb out of
hopelessness and into a better life?
“The time
has come for all of us to fight global poverty…
“In my
country, we must reform our own education system. Rising tuitions
are increasingly putting a college degree out of reach for many
families. Fewer and fewer low-income students are attending our
universities. We need to reform our student aid programs, cut
subsidies flowing to banks, and ensure that every child who works
hard can attend their first year of college for free. No one should
be shut out in America from an education they need because they
can't afford it.
“Another
great threat to our competitiveness is health care. America has some
of the best health care in the world. But the 46 million uninsured
people and the skyrocketing health care costs are putting our
companies at a disadvantage.
“Just look
at how much health care adds to the cost of building an American car
— $1,400 per car. In Japan, it's about $600. That's just one reason
why it's time to make health care affordable and available to every
American.
“And it is
imperative that our countries get our fiscal houses in order. Living
in deficit isn't good for families, and it isn't good for
governments.
“It
diminishes our independence and our economic security when we are
dependent on other nations like China to buy our debt. Right now,
China has purchased nearly $300 billion of America's debt. These
low-interest loans have made the impact of our historic budget
deficit minimal — for now.
“When China
changes its policies, it could have a devastating effect on our
economy. Interest rates could rise. Consumer spending could drop.
And those high interest rates could mean people can't afford their
homes anymore…
“Budget
deficits make America less competitive. There's less money to invest
in innovation and research and meet the challenges of education and
health care. And there's more risk when we rely on another country
for economic security.
“So we must
balance our budgets to compete…
“America is
widely known as the richest country in the world. But few realize
that 25 percent of our people live in poverty or at the margins…the
best evidence of America not living up to its ideals is the more
than 36 million Americans who live in poverty every day.
“There are
children who have no real hope simply because of where they're
growing up. There are people who are working two jobs and they still
can't make the rent. And too many families will spend the night in
homeless shelters across the country.
“…That is
why it is critical for us to ensure that our children have the
education they need to compete and thrive in this new world. That
our societies have the capability to help everyone — not just those
at the top, but those who are struggling. That there is capital for
our new inventors and dreamers, and they can access it.
“In a nation
of our wealth and our prosperity, to have millions working full time
and living in poverty is not just bad economic policy. It's wrong.
They are doing everything right and they're still struggling.
“I am asking
the American people to do a few things to help eradicate poverty in
America. Many of them resemble steps that Tony Blair and Gordon
Brown have pursued here.
“First,
let's shine a bright light on this problem. Let's talk about it
again. Good people from all different backgrounds and beliefs care
about this issue. And we need to put this back on the agenda.
“Second,
let's make work pay again.
“What we
know and understand in our soul is that hard work built our nations.
Men and women who worked with their hands and their heads — who
still do — they don't want a free ride; they want a fair chance.
“That's why
we're fighting to raise the minimum wage in our country. And we
should expand the Earned Income Tax credit — much as your [i.e., the
British] government has done with the Working Tax Credit…let's
strengthen the foundation for families that work. That means health
care for everyone and child care for parents who need it…let's make
sure that families aren't just getting by — but getting ahead. Let's
provide them with the assets they need to build a better life.
“Britain has
led the way with the Child Trust Funds. We ought to consider the
same thing in America — providing $500 to every child at birth, and
perhaps an additional $500 for lower-income families.
“If parents
could contribute too, then the time a child turned 18 years old,
they could have as much as $40,000 in the bank. Money to spend on
college or a home, or money to store up for retirement.
“Imagine
what it would say to a poor boy growing up in my home state of North
Carolina. If he knew that if he studied hard. He stayed in school.
Then he would have $20 or $30 or $40 thousand dollars in the bank
when he turned 18. Imagine what it would do to his sense of hope and
possibility for the future. It could change whole communities.
“So there
are very real and fundamental ways in which we can prevent families
from falling into poverty. And this is the work I am engaged in at
the Center on Poverty, Work, and Opportunity at the University of
North Carolina.
“So far, my
efforts through this Center have focused on fighting poverty in
America. But I also believe that an essential part of all our
efforts will be to carry this fight to end extreme poverty around
the world.”
What is the
centerpiece of Edwards’ message? Columnist David Sirota wrote that
Edwards “is offering a courageous, full-throated indictment of Big
Money.... Edwards says that ‘powerful interests, particularly
corporate interests, have literally taken over this government.’ And
Edwards hasn't just been talking about it - he has made a crusade
against this, the issue of our day, the centerpiece of his campaign.
He has, in short, made it the very reason he is running.”
Recently
The Huffington Post asked a number of commentators: “Is John
Edwards' presidential campaign the test of progressive populism that
Democratic activists have long awaited?” The answers were equivocal,
exposing doubts that the populist approach will succeed or even
matters. Among the answers were:
Bob Borosage,
Campaign for America’s Future:
“Edwards' frustration is that he can't be a legitimate test, he
hasn't been able to establish himself as the populist voice.
Why? One reason is the simple historic nature of the Hillary,
Obama campaigns - Hillary's growing gender gap is proof positive
of that.
“Second,
perhaps more important, is simply to listen to Hillary's
rhetoric. New energy resources and taking on the big oil
companies. Health care and taking on the insurance companies.
Economics and making this economy work for working people. The
speech that most mirrored the AFL-CIO/EPI/CAF rhetoric on
economy, ironically, was delivered by Hillary at Dartmouth....
“[In] this election, with
Hillary presenting herself as a populist, willing to take on the
big interests (and her rhetoric is the reason that she's
relatively ‘teflon-ed’ against Edwards’ attacks on her) - I'd
say Dems are getting a lot closer to where they should be - at
least rhetorically....No doubt, money is buying into Democrats
big time, and the party will have to decide whether its going
back to the mid-70s compromise - socially liberal and
economically Wall Street....So I'd argue that Edwards’ fate
isn't a proper measure, because most candidates - Hillary
certainly - have moved to co-opt [populist] rhetoric.”
Al From,
Democratic Leadership Council (DLC):
“The Clinton-New Democrat
formula is the only formula with a track record of winning both
the nomination and the general election. The track record in
recent elections shows that the populist formula doesn't really
deliver the very voters it's aimed at - white male,
working-class voters - probably because they are the most
skeptical of government delivering on its promises.
“Clinton economics brought
a lot of those voters - including union members - back to the
Democrats because it worked, grew the economy, created jobs, and
increased incomes. But the three principal elements of
Clintonomics - fiscal discipline (balancing the budget),
investment in people and technology, and expanding markets
overseas - were opposed by the leaders of organized labor and
the populist forces in the party....”
Paul Krugman,
New York Times:
“The
candidates are all much more progressive/populist than anyone
would have imagined a couple of years ago. Edwards tends to come
up with the policy proposal first, but he's eventually emulated
by the others -- and you have to be a serious political groupie
to be in the business of inferring positions not from the
policies, but by which month they're announced in. Basically,
nobody is running on the pro-business, anti-class-warfare
platform. We're all populists now.”
Lawrence
Mishel, Economic Policy Institute:
“So, one
problem Edwards has is that the whole debate has moved
leftward.”
Matt
Yglesias, Atlantic Monthly:
“Even
though Edwards is running a more populist campaign than are HRC
or Obama, HRC and Obama are both running more populist campaigns
than we saw from Kerry in 2004 (or, for that matter, from
Edwards or Dean) or for Gore in 2000. Whoever wins the
nomination will be an advocate of universal health care and all
three are running on platforms that at least ‘sound’ very
different from the ‘free trade and balanced budgets’ mantra from
back in the day. Hillary Clinton gave a speech about the evils
of economic inequality back in May. So, arguably, no matter what
the fate of the Edwards campaign, the populist side is winning
the argument.”
Despite the
mixed reviews of Edwards’ campaign and the doubts about his ability
to win the nomination, most commentators indicate that a populist
message is defining the 2008 campaign on the Democratic side.
Dennis Kucinich
The
Democratic candidate with the most far-reaching program of economic
change has been Dennis Kucinich. He has spoken for a “New Deal for
the 21st Century,” has argued for a program of federal
job-creation similar to the New Deal Works Progress Administration,
and has sponsored legislation on the creation of a new Federal
Infrastructure Modernization Bank similar in principle to the New
Deal Reconstruction Finance Corporation.
Kucinich is
familiar with concepts of monetary reform, has endorsed the
reformist work of the American Monetary Institute, and has been the
featured speaker at AMI conventions. His young British wife
Elizabeth, a former AMI staffer, virtually grew up in the monetary
reform movement which in Britain was steeped in Social Credit
concepts. Kucinich has sought the advice of the leading voices in
the monetary reform movement, including that of well-known monetary
economist Michael Hudson. Tax reformer David Kelley, who argues
forcefully for the restoration of a true progressive income tax
where the rich pay their fair share, is the head of his economics
team.
Yet
Kucinich’s 2008 presidential campaign has failed to make a ripple.
In Iowa he transferred his meager support in the caucuses to Obama
and won only two percent of the vote in New Hampshire. Part of the
problem, of course, is that he has been ignored by the mainstream
media or attacked as an eccentric or even a socialist. Many of his
positions, including his steadfast opposition to the Iraq War, have
been preempted by the other candidates with their own populist
rhetoric mentioned so often in this article. But Kucinich himself
has shown a puzzling reluctance to package his economic ideas into a
coherent and comprehensive call for fundamental change.
Yet Kucinich has played an important, if behind-the-scenes, role as
a voice of conscience within a Democratic Party that has strayed far
from its Jefferson-Jackson-Roosevelt roots. He may be the only true
New Dealer in Congress. And in a future Democratic administration
Kucinich could play a formidable role in a Cabinet-level position
such as Secretary of Labor. Perhaps he may yet have a key role to
play in the future prospects of economic reform in the U.S.
Conclusion
In rejecting
the damage done to the U.S. under the Bush-Cheney administration
over the past seven years, the U.S. remains a nation in search of
its soul. Much of the outcome will depend on the attitude people
ultimately take toward the capitalist economic system. For people to
make an idol out of unbridled capitalism is the height of madness,
but this is what has happened in the last generation. Yet more
people are realizing that capitalism as an all-inclusive system for
financing a modern producing national economy may produce an
abundance of material goods but by itself fails to meet the array of
real human needs. Capitalism is a method of financing private sector
production, mainly for consumer products, but really is nothing more
than that.
The
financial elite have hidden behind the productivity of capitalism
for their own self-serving purposes. The elite have taken advantage
of a historical ideological proclivity toward a laissez-faire
philosophy by asserting that bankers, along with industrialists,
should be left alone to function in the marketplace. This is a gross
error. Finance capitalism is taking what should be a public
utility—credit—and usurping what really belongs to the body politic.
It uses this utility to enrich itself to the determinant of everyone
in society. As indicated earlier, Big Finance is in fact a
protection and loan-sharking racket that has been stolen from “We
the People” through the agency of weak, ignorant, and dishonest
politicians.
Private
sector activity, moreover, should only be one leg of a functioning
modern economy. The other leg should be public expenditures for
infrastructure, income security, regulatory activities, etc. This
may be called “socialism” for want of a better word. It should be
clear to all that a truly functioning modern nation includes both
capitalistic and socialistic elements. Capitalism operates in a
marketplace. Banking, under the “real bills” doctrine should be
limited to facilitating commercial operations.
The system
should function so as to benefit the entire nation and community of
nations. While the private sector marketplace will naturally result
in some disparity of income, that disparity should be balanced by
the general welfare aspects of the public sector. And funding for
the public sector should not take place by dependence on the private
sector.
Instead,
other funding sources that draw on the natural credit of the nation
should be used. This may include direct spending of money into
circulation without recourse to borrowing or taxation, as was done
with the Civil War greenbacks, or self-financing government lending
and grants for infrastructure construction, operations, and
maintenance.
Finally, in
a highly performing economy there should be direct payment of money
to individuals in the form of a National Dividend. If the economy
does not perform sufficiently to provide a National Dividend at a
living wage, then there should be a basic income guarantee paid for
by taxes. These measures will lead to a stable economy. There will
be no more need for a war machine to exploit and dominate the rest
of the world. It will also allow for public and private expenditure
to mitigate pollution and ensure public safety in the face of
natural disasters.
The United
States came out of World War II in a position to lead the world in
so many ways. In the last generation, starting with Reagan
administration policies as a mistaken response to the economic chaos
of the 1970s, we have squandered that status. Is the 2008 election
the nation’s last chance to regain what has been lost, or will this
opportunity be squandered as well? Only time will tell.
There is,
however, a touchstone that can be used to evaluate the contenders
for the presidency from this point onward until the November
election.
It has been
argued in this article that the root cause of the nation’s economic
woes is a debt-based monetary system. Therefore the first measure
that should be taken after a new president is inaugurated is to
introduce a new influx of purchasing power into the economy that is
not tied to debt. In an earlier article in this series, the author
stated that according to his calculations derived from
publicly-available economic data for 2006, the government should
have paid a $12,600 cash dividend that year, on average, to everyone
in the U.S. This National Dividend should be paid out of a
self-capitalized dividend account not tied to government taxation or
borrowing.
On January
21, 2009, during his or her first day in office, the new president
should send emergency legislation to Congress that would direct the
U.S. Treasury Department to make a $12,600 tax-free payment to or on
behalf of each U.S. resident. Similar measures should be enacted in
all other nations. This alone would break the back of the onrushing
economic crisis by undercutting the crushing burden of unnecessary
debt that is destroying the world.
Richard C. Cook is a retired U.S. federal government analyst, whose
career included service with the U.S. Civil Service Commission, the
Food and Drug Administration, the Carter White House, and NASA,
followed by twenty-one years with the U.S. Treasury Department. His
articles on economics, politics, and space policy have appeared on
numerous websites, and he is cited in the Wikipedia article on
“Economic Democracy” as one of the world’s leading monetary
reformers. His book on monetary reform entitled We Hold These Truths
is in preparation. He is also the author of Challenger Revealed: An
Insider’s Account of How the Reagan Administration Caused the
Greatest Tragedy of the Space Age, called by one reviewer, “the most
important spaceflight book of the last twenty years.” His website is
at
www.richardccook.com
.
Copyright 2008 by Richard C. Cook
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