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Serious nuclear accident in Scotland revealed Gory Tales of Terrorism By N.D. Jayaprakash World awash in stolen nuclear material
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America's Atomic War Against Its Citizens and Why It's Not Over Yet
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From The Sunday Herald (Scotland), July 8, 2001: http://www.sundayherald.com/16870 Revealed: nuclear plant accident after fuel rods collapse By Rob Edwards Environment Editor A SERIOUS accident at a nuclear power station in southern Scotland last week sent 24 fiercely radioactive fuel rods crashing to the floor -- narrowly avoiding the death of workers at the plant and the release of a radioactive cloud which would have contaminated the entire region. Managers of the Chapelcross nuclear reactors near Annan in Dumfries and Galloway are now anxiously trying to work out how to retrieve the fuel rods, which are still lying where they fell in the early hours of Thursday morning. All normal fuelling operations have been suspended at Chapelcross and at its sister station, Calder Hall, at Sellafield in Cumbria. The nuclear plant is run by state-owned, British Nuclear Fuels (BNFL), and is Scotland's oldest nuclear power station. Home to four 50-megawatt reactors and a secretive military plant which produces radioactive tritium for Trident warheads, it has been generating electricity -- and sometimes plutonium for atomic bombs -- since 1959. Nuclear engineers and regulators had initially feared that the fuel was damaged and would leak radioactivity into the air. However, it is now thought this has not happened. The worst scenario would have been that the fuel caught fire endangering the lives of the plant's workers. 'This was a cock-up that was potentially very serious indeed because of the risk of a fire,' said the leading independent nuclear engineer, John Large. 'It put the employees at risk and there could have been a local dispersion of radioactivity.' News of the accident, which has not been publicised and is likely to lead to legal action, alarmed politicians and environmentalists . They called for a crackdown by regulators, and argued that it highlighted the dangerous folly of the government's plan to build a new generation of nuclear reactors. 'I get worried,' said Fiona McLeod, the Scottish National Party's shadow deputy environment minister. 'Are they cutting corners? Is there now cause for concern about the safety of Chapelcross?' At about 1.15am on Thursday, engineers were routinely removing irradiated uranium fuel rods by remote control from reactor three, which has been shut down since April 24. They were trying to attach a cylinder containing 24 rods to a crane so that it could be lowered down a shaft into a flask and taken to a cooling pond for storage, when something went badly wrong. The cylinder suddenly came loose and fell two-and-a-half feet onto the shaft door, which was closed. The site's emergency incident plan was put into operation, its manager, Bob Clayton, woken from his bed, and a team of expert engineers assembled. The Nuclear Installations Inspectorate (NII), the government's safety watchdog, was informed at 3.30am. Carbon dioxide was pumped over the fallen fuel to make sure that it didn't overheat or catch fire. The area around the fuel was monitored for radiation, as were outlets from the site, and the situation was kept under close review for the next few hours. 'It was very embarrassing for BNFL, pretty annoying to the NII, but not immediately life-threatening,' concluded one insider. Another pointed out that the accident could have been much worse if the shaft door had been open, because the fuel would have fallen a lot further. Large, who is currently advising the Russian government on the safety of retrieving the Kursk nuclear submarine from the Barents sea, pointed out that it was vital to remove the fallen fuel rods from the shaft door. They were blocking the only route by which fuel could be removed from the reactor, which could become urgent if problems developed, he explained. 'The story is certainly not over yet.' Two months ago Chapelcross suffered another problem during defuelling when a grab-release mechanism failed. In 1999 there were four pollution incidents at the plant, one of which resulted in the contamination of a local burn. In May 1967 radioactivity was released into the environment when fuel caught fire in a reactor and suffered a partial meltdown. Friends of the Earth Scotland claimed that last week's accident illustrated how dangerous the nuclear industry really is . 'This is the latest in a series of recent mishaps at Chapelcross and it is time the regulators cracked down, as they have done at Dounreay and Sellafield,' said the environmental group's chief executive, Kevin Dunion. 'This kind of potential disaster highlights the folly of even considering building a new generation of nuclear power stations. The people of south west Scotland must make it clear they want no further part in this risky business.' BNFL has said that it expects Chapelcross to be shut down before 2010, suggesting privately that a replacement nuclear station could be built there. Two weeks ago the UK government began a review of energy policy under the energy minister Brian Wilson, which is expected to result in a programme of new nuclear power stations. Yesterday BNFL stressed that the dropped fuel had not been damaged and that no radioactivity had leaked, an analysis that was supported by the NII and the Scottish Environment Protection Agency. BNFL and the NII have now both launched investigations into the cause of the accident, but have not yet come to any conclusions. All refuelling operations at Chapelcross and Calder Hall had been suspended in the meantime as a precaution, a spokesman for BNFL told the Sunday Herald. 'It is quite a technical challenge to recover the situation,' he said, though he was confident that BNFL would manage it. The company, which is still hoping to be privatised despite a safety scandal at its Sellafield nuclear complex last year, will now have to figure out a way of remotely lifting up the cylinder full of 24 intensely radioactive fuel rods -- and then satisfy the NII that the plan is safe. According to John Large, this is likely to take at least two months. ___________________________ (c) 2001, The Sunday Herald http://www.sundayherald.com "Cherry Blossoms hanging on the Cherry Tree... ... then FLASH blinding FLASH and there's nothing left to see." The photographs of Yosuke Yamahata (referred to below) were published by Pomegranate Press in 1995 in a book titled "Nagasaki Journey" -- cg ------- Forwarded Message Follows ------- From: "Mark Vallen" <mjvallen@earthlink.net > Date sent: Thu, 9 Aug 2001 10:58:51 -0700 Subject: [Actionla] Nagasaki August 9th, 1945 Fifty six years ago... August 9th, 1945... at 11:02 in the morning, the city of Nagasaki was obliterated by an Atomic Bomb. In memory of those who perished in the Nuclear Holocaust... 4 Photographs from ground zero Nagasaki have been posted on various Independent Media sites across the world by ART FOR A CHANGE (AFC). Those four Photos.... NAGASAKI - Carbonized Child NAGASAKI - No Doves Fly Here NAGASAKI - Human Shadow NAGASAKI - Dead City .... can be seen on the Los Angeles Independent Media site, at; http://la.indymedia.org/ Three of the Photos were taken by Yamahata Yosuke, the first Photographer to enter Nagasaki after the Atomic Bombing of August 9th. Entering the city the day after it had been devastated, the 28 year old Yamahata wandered amongst the ruins of the radioactive wasteland documenting the effects of the bomb. He took more than 100 photographs.... the most extensive documentation from either Hiroshima or Nagasaki. Mr. Yamahata became violently ill in August of 1965 on the 20th Anniversary of the Bombing. He died a year later of Cancer at the age of 48. ART FOR A CHANGE now has a permanent online exhibition of 12 Paintings by Atomic Bomb Survivors (hibakusha) located at the following URL; http://www.art-for-a-change.com/Atomic/atomic.htm "Cherry Blossoms hanging on the Cherry Tree... ... then FLASH blinding FLASH and there's nothing left to see." Mark Vallen www.art-for-a-change.com Forgotten History - Wednesday, October 24, 2001 "Little known facts and overlooked history" Want to become a Forgotten History subscriber for FREE? Visit: http://www.shagmail.com/sub/history.html
Against the backdrop of the Cold War, one of the strangest spectacles of the period were the Nevada tests of 1955. Here an almost surreal scenario developed when the national media went to Las Vegas to watch and prepare for a dress rehearsal for Armageddon. Over 500 newspaper, television and radio reporters were on hand to report on the soap opera that they were about to see. "The world's most expensive premiere will be unfolded out on the Nevada desert, and nothing that Hollywood ever produced will be able to equal it," said one reporter. A mock town using mannequins was constructed to see what would happen to an American community if a nuclear bomb struck it. That was the official view. The unofficial view was that this was a great propaganda stunt for the nuclear industry. For some people it was a must see. Hotels did great business as people flocked to Vegas to see the spec- tacle. One hotel went so far as to change its name to the Atomic-View motel because the guests could get a good view of the explosion. The buildup of the event dominated the news for over a week. All of the heavies of journalism were there to report on what was happening. The blast itself was anti-climatic and the FCDA estimated that in the case of a real attack over 8 mil- lion Americans would die. The Soviets, spurred on by the development of the H-bomb, poured enormous resources into their own bomb. The military used the soldiers as guinea pigs as they marched into ground zero without being told of the health risks. The damage done to the survivors at Hiroshima and Nagasaki should have served as ample warning, but one of the amazing features of these tests was the lack of reporting on the health risks. Nobody in the media, amidst countless articles about the bomb, wrote of the health risks involved. They were more interested in speaking to official experts about the tests than to consider what it might do to the men. Years later, when the atomic veterans came down with cancer and various other ailments, the VA denied the Vets benefits, the media was no where to be found and the experts said nothing. The callous disregard for the men was unforgivable. Nobody ever tried to find out what were the results of this for the veterans. This was typical of the military that, after sending people to war as in Vietnam and the Gulf War, they often forgot about them when they get back. Or, worse yet, they deny any responsibility for their illness. The politicians did their part to close the debate on what health risks were being asked of the servicemen. When two Colorado professors charged that the dust resulting from these blasts could become dangerous, the former governor of Colorado said, "They should be arrested." So all of our major institutions failed these men, the press, the politicians and the military and that remains the lesson of these tests. Question authority. Sources: GI Guinea Pigs, Michael Uhl and Tod Ensign. http://www.counterpunch.org/jayaprakash1.html October 25, 2001 By N.D. Jayaprakash The terrorist assault on various targets in the United States of America on 11th September 2001 is an extremely cowardly act that deserves to be condemned in no uncertain terms. The tragic loss of life resulting from the dastardly act is a reminder of the fact that it is invariably innocent people who get slaughtered in the vicious games which contending political interests in the world keep playing. The premeditated attack was apparently in retaliation for the repressive and wayward policies pursued by the U.S. Administration across the globe, which have had adverse impact on a sizeable section of humanity. In the recent past it is mostly people in West Asia who have had to bear the brunt of such policies. However, under no circumstances can there be any justification for the wreaking the wrath generated against the U.S. Administration on ordinary citizens of the United States, who do not play any direct role in the formulation of the policies in question. The death toll in the gruesome tragedy is estimated to be over 6500. Thousands of people, not only in the United States but also from a number of other countries including India, have suddenly lost their near and dear ones. The pain and agony left by the tragedy was very palpable everywhere. The harrowing trauma that the passengers and crew of the hijacked airplanes underwent before they crashed can be well imagined. The sight of scores of people helplessly looking out from windows on the upper floors of the World Trade Center's burning 110-storey twin towers in New York was an extremely poignant sight to watch. What followed was even more chilling. While some jumped into the air in a desperate bid to escape from the advancing fire, others just got engulfed in it. The fate of those who jumped from that height to the ground several hundred feet below was predictable. The nightmarish experience could not have been any better for those who were trapped in the crumbling twin towers till they were crushed to death by the falling debris. The ghastly images and heart-rending scenes that were flashed on all television channels is a grim reminder of what terrorism has done and what terrorism can do. Selective Amnesia Most of the news-broadcasters compared the shocking event to the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor. Some others called it the biggest terrorist attack of all time, an attack that was directed not only against the United States but also against all humanity. They continue to say so. It is, indeed, very unfortunate that not one of them from the major broadcasting media - BBC, CNN, Fox News, etc. - compared the 11th September attack to a very similar event but of far greater magnitude, a horrendous one that was a turning point in the history of the twentieth century. How is that even a passing reference to that unforgettable and earth-shaking event has not been made by any one in the media or by any of the spokespersons of the major governments? Even in this hour of grief there can be no justification for resorting to selective amnesia. How could those manning responsible posts today not remember the dawning of the age of nuclear madness! Perhaps nobody wants to draw attention to the fact that it was the U.S. Administration, which was guilty of committing the biggest and most gruesome terrorist attack ever. By their decision to use atomic bombs, the U.S. leadership had wiped out more than two-thirds of the population of two Japanese cities. In that cold-blooded and unprovoked terrorist attack on the Japanese civilian population, the death toll was seventy times more than the lives lost in the U.S. on 11th September and the area of destruction was far greater. One terrorist attack certainly cannot justify another. However, the concerted attempt to conceal the U.S. Administration's unsavoury legacy is very glaring. Cause for Celebration? All reports show that, after the terrorist attack of 11th September, a pall of gloom has descended over the United States and across much of the world. But the major media networks also flashed the shocking news that in certain Palestinian camps in Lebanon and elsewhere the terrible event was a cause for much celebration. (The same news channels later clarified that the celebration was confined to a few isolated pockets only.) If these news reports are true, it is a matter of great shame that some people did celebrate the misfortune that had befallen others. How could people be so heartless and insensitive in this age? As a matter of fact, there was much celebration too on the streets of New York - yes, in Manhattan - and elsewhere in the United States and especially on a ship sailing back from Europe to the United States bringing back the U.S. President from Potsdam, Germany. The date was 6th August 1945. The cause for celebration was the utterly senseless atomic bombing of Hiroshima by the United States. The then U.S. President, Harry S. Truman, who was leading the celebrations without an iota of guilt, had just announced to the world the successful strike on Hiroshima by the U.S. airforce. The U.S. President had been informed over the wireless that the atomic bomb had achieved the desired results. The Japanese' city of Hiroshima, which had been deliberately left untouched by "conventional" bombing, had been obliterated by a single atomic bomb. (When the truth began to sink in, those concerned U.S. citizens who were better informed quickly distanced themselves from the celebrations and started expressing their outrage at the senseless act. Later reports showed that over 200,000 of Hiroshima's population of 350,000 had been wiped out.) Soon after the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, information that trickled in from official briefings and from accounts sent by war correspondents about the death and destruction that was unleashed there were horrifying enough to prick the conscience of concerned people across the globe. Strong reactions of revulsion against the atomic bombings were evident even in the United States and Britain. One of the publications dealing with these developments and one that was brought out later shows that: "All over the country [the United States], people wrote letters to the editors of their newspapers, protesting the killing of non-combatant civilians in Japan, calling it inhuman, and protesting our disregard for moral values. In Britain, too, where the news of the atom bomb topped all other news, the letter columns were full of such expressions such as 'In the name of humanity, let us stop and ask ourselves where we are marching'." [The Atomic Age Opens, ed. by Donald Potter Geddes, The World Publishing Company, New York, 1945, p.41] Cold Blooded Act The entire gruesome event in Hiroshima was carefully filmed and the physical effects of the attack accurately measured from airplanes accompanying the bomber that had dropped the atom bomb. The blinding flash, the reverberating blast, the mushroom cloud, the flattening of almost all standing structures (according to later estimates over 92 per cent of the 76,000 buildings that lay within four kilometers of ground zero had been destroyed), and the entire city being engulfed in a devastating fire in a short time must have all been a terrific sight to watch from the airplanes. However, it is not clear whether the audio system with the film crew on the accompanying aircraft was powerful enough to pick up the agonizing cries of those trapped in the falling debris and about to be devoured by the advancing fire. Also the rising smoke from the raging fire must have hid from view the thousands of screaming men, women and children - many with deep burns sustained from direct exposure to the scorching flash - jumping into the various rivers running through the city in order to escape from the searing heat. Few of them may have managed to get back on to the banks for most of them surely met a watery death. But for the smoke the happenings on the riverside would have been yet another spectacle to watch! Of course, effects of ionizing radiation were not yet apparent but the smell of burning human flesh was certainly in the air. Unfortunately, television and cable networks were not in vogue at that time; otherwise the entire world could have watched the "spectacular" event live! Terrorism had never tasted such success before or after! With the U.S. President in the lead, the destruction of Hiroshima and its people was a great occasion to celebrate with gay abandon! The "civilized" conduct of the U.S. President must have put even the worst barbarians to shame! No, that was not the end. Three days later on 9th August 1945, an identical exercise - film crew et al included - was re-enacted over the city of Nagasaki. This time a more powerful atomic bomb was used. But, thanks to the hilly terrain, the fate of only 140,000 of the city's total population of 270,000 was sealed. Meanwhile the city of Kyoto with a population of over 1,000,000 had a providential escape. Kyoto had been replaced with the ill-fated Nagasaki at the last minute after the intervention of the then U.S. Secretary of War, Henry Stimson. (It is not clear why Stimson did not prevent the attack altogether.) Despite strong opposition from Lt. Gen. Leslie Groves, Chief of the Manhattan (atomic bomb) Project, Stimson was able to strike Kyoto off from the list of atomic targets and, thus, succeeded in miraculously saving no less than 800,000 Japanese lives. However, Gen. Groves, who was clearly disappointed, later wrote in his memoirs thus: "I particularly wanted Kyoto as a target because, as I have said, it was large enough an area for us to gain complete knowledge of the effects of an atom bomb. Hiroshima was not nearly so satisfactory in this respect." [Leslie Groves: Now It Can Be Told (Story of the Manhattan Project), Andre Deutsch, London, 1963, p.275] Mark his words: "large enough an area for us to gain complete knowledge of the effects of an atom bomb". In other words, the United States had used atomic bombs on Japan to gain complete knowledge of the effects of an atom bomb! Slaughtering 200,000 human beings at one go in Hiroshima was not satisfactory enough! Kyoto with its population of over 1,000,000 could have provided far better results! This is the assessment of none other than the very person who was heading the U.S. atomic bomb project then. Such crass views are definitely indicative of the "civilized" nature of the U.S. establishment. Height of Inhumanity What most people do not know is that the after effects of the atomic bombings are taking its toll to this day. In general, in the early stages most A-bomb casualties were due to the combined effects of burn, blast and radiation injuries. In later stages, deaths and diseases arose solely due to the delayed effects of nuclear radiation - a property which is unique to nuclear weapons. A large number of the 300,000 A-bomb survivors were exposed to ionizing radiation. So separate A-bomb hospitals were built in Hiroshima and Nagasaki to treat them. These hospitals, which have been providing treatment and monitoring the effects of radiation, have never been short of patients. The truth is, since the atomic bombings, debilitating diseases resulting from exposure to nuclear radiation have continued to kill hundreds of A-bomb victims each year. The perpetrators of the crime were well aware of the effects of radiation on living beings. Therefore, they wanted to target not only inanimate objects in the targeted areas but animate objects as well. But there was one problem. The normal practice as far as 'conventional' bombing was concerned was to take certain precautions to minimize loss of life. This was done by dropping leaflets in advance announcing which cities and towns were to be bombed on certain nights urging the inhabitants to evacuate the target areas so as to give every chance to the civilian population to save themselves. Records show that the U.S. airforce followed this normal practice even during the period between 17th June to 5th August 1945 while carrying out its last major bombing raids over 58 Japanese cities with 'conventional' bombs. Strangely enough, the people of Hiroshima and Nagasaki were not given any such warnings before they were attacked with atom bombs. In fact, Dr. Arthur Compton, the then Director of the Metallurgical Project (a unit of the Manhattan Project) later confessed that: "Hiroshima had not been given any specific warning. The people were caught unprepared. Men and women were accordingly in the streets, going about their normal business." [Arthur Compton: Atomic Quest, Oxford University Press, London, 1956, pp254-255] While the population of towns subjected to 'conventional' bombing were given advance warning to evacuate, why was it that no such warning was given to the population of the two cities subjected to atomic bombings? Does it not prove that it was not only to maximize the loss of life but also to expose the maximum number of people to ionizing radiation that the inhabitants of Hiroshima and Nagasaki were denied a chance to evacuate the cities prior to the atomic bombings? Is it not the height of inhumanity to have had such utter contempt for human lives? Another morbid factor is that in order to measure the destructive power of the atomic bombs with accuracy, the five cities selected as potential A-bomb targets were left completely untouched by 'conventional' bombing for eight long months. During that period they were spared the disastrous fate that befell 66 other Japanese cities, which were blasted and burned with 'conventional' bombs including incendiary ones. However, the fate of Hiroshima and Nagasaki ultimately turned out to be far worse! Therefore, would it not be fair enough to conclude that the magnitude of the latest horrendous crime, for which the "barbarian" Bin Laden is the prime suspect, seemingly pales into insignificance as compared to the campaign of calculated terror that the "civilized" U.S. leadership indulged in 56 years ago? Despite protests the "civilized" terror campaigns of the U.S. have continued unabated to this day on a different scale. Bitter Taste The objective of the above argument is only to drive home the point that one terrorist attack on the people of the United States should not erase the memory of the countless acts of state terrorism perpetrated by successive U.S. Administrations over the years. The victims of U.S. state terrorism have also undergone or are still undergoing the same pain, trauma and agony that the victims of the 11th September terrorist attack are now experiencing. In a very unfortunate way, the people of the United States for the first time have had a bitter taste of what their own Government has been doing to people across the world for years in different forms. The atomic bombing on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the massive and indiscriminate bombing of Vietnam (including use of thousands of tons of incendiary napalm bombs), the innumerable My Lai* type massacres, the use of chemical weapons such as the highly toxic defoliant Agent Orange** over Vietnam, the massive and indiscriminate bombing of Iraq and Yugoslavia, etc., are just a few examples of acts of U.S. state terrorism that people of other nations have had to endure. [* On 16 March 1968, 80 soldiers of Charlie Company, First Battalion, 11th Light Infantry Brigade of the U.S. Army, under the command of Lt. William Calley, went on a 'search and destroy' mission to the village of My Lai in the South Vietnamese district of Son My. In the process over 300 unarmed civilians, mostly women, children and the elderly, were massacred. Ronald Heaberle who had accompanied the soldiers photographed the entire killings, which were published much later in the U.S. magazine Life on 5th December 1969. This was one instance where there was irrefutable proof and when several Vietnam War veterans in the U.S. came forward to testify about the perpetration of that mindless terrorist act. ** 11 million gallons of Agent Orange were sprayed over South Vietnam between 1961 and 1970 covering 10 % of the country' land area and exposing millions of Vietnamese to its toxic effects. It has reportedly killed or seriously injured over 400,000 people and has already contributed to birth defects in over 500,000 children. The international reaction to the human tragedy resulting from this U.S. chemical warfare has been appalling. For details see the article by Robert Dreyfuss titled 'Apocalypse Still' in the U.S. magazine Mother Jones, January 2000.] What rational explanation can the U.S. terrorists offer for targeting Iraqi civilian population with precision-guided and earth-penetrating cruise missiles while they were taking refuge in air-raid shelters to escape U.S. aerial bombings? Is not the U.S. Administration squarely responsible for the death of over 500,000 children in Iraq due to the untold suffering that the Iraqi people are forced to undergo as a result of the strict economic sanctions imposed on that country? Is not the U.S. Administration aiding and abetting the Zionists in systematically carrying out terrorist attacks on the people of Palestine in order to deprive them of their homeland? Is it not the CIA (Central Intelligence Agency of the United States) along with the ISI (Inter Services Intelligence of Pakistan) that encouraged, armed and funded "Islamic" terrorists in the 1980s to overthrow the then government in Afghanistan? Are they not the same terrorists who have been wreaking havoc in Kashmir with the same arms and funds? (Interestingly, while the Government of India repeatedly blames the ISI for aiding and abetting terrorism in Kashmir, it maintains total silence about the treacherous role of the CIA. Similarly, the Government of Pakistan blames RAW [Research and Analysis Wing of India] for the numerous acts of terrorism in Pakistan, while the CIA's devious role there is kept under wraps.) It should not be forgotten that the pain and suffering inflicted on the people of the other affected countries by acts of terrorism are also as real as that which is being experienced by people in the United States now. Therefore, retribution cannot be a one-way process. All acts of terrorism should be condemned and all those responsible for terrorist acts should be brought to book and punished irrespective of creed or nationality. Untenable Justification As to who planned the attack on 11th September it is still not very clearly evident, but the "barbarian" Osama Bin Laden continues to be the prime suspect. However, there is no doubt that it was the "civilized" U.S. President and his ilk that had ordered the wanton destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Strange as it may seem, while there is world-wide hunt for the perpetrators of the heinous crime in New York, Washington-DC and Pittsburgh, neither President Truman nor anyone else in the U.S. Administration ever had to face any such threat for their dastardly act. They managed to get away scot-free on the spacious plea that the use of atomic bombs were necessary in order to end World War II and, as President Truman put it, "save American lives". The fact is there was not a grain of truth in the justification that the U.S. President had offered. (For details see N.D. Jayaprakash, The Meaning of Hiroshima Nagasaki, Delhi Science Forum and Kerala Shastra Sahitya Parishad, New Delhi, 1990.) But how many people across the world know the real facts even today? Do they know that several contemporary U.S. and British statesmen totally disagreed with President Truman's lame justification? Fleet Admiral W.D. Leahy, Chief of Staff to Presidents Roosevelt and Truman successively and the top ranking officer in the entire military hierarchy then, was quite blunt in his criticism. According to him: "The use of this barbaric weapon at Hiroshima and Nagasaki was of no material assistance in our war against Japan. The Japanese were already defeated and ready to surrender because of the effective sea blockade and the successful bombing with conventional weapons." He went on to add: "My own feeling is that in being the first to use it we had adopted an ethical standard common to the barbarians of the Dark Ages." [W.D. Leahy: I Was There: The Personal History of the Chief of Staff to Presidents Roosevelt and Truman, Victor Gollencz Ltd., London, 1950, p.429 and p.514] Interestingly, Winston Churchill, Prime Minister of Britain during the major part of World War II and a willing accomplice to the crime, has nevertheless made a frank admission. In his voluminous work on the history of the War, he has stated: "It would be a mistake to suppose that the fate of Japan was settled by the atomic bombs. Her defeat was certain before the first bomb fell and was brought about by overwhelming maritime power." [Winston S. Churchill: The Second World War, Vol. VI: Triumph and Tragedy, Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston, 1953, p.646] What is intriguing is the fact that Gen. Douglas MacArthur, Supreme Commander of the Allied Forces in South West Pacific Area during World War II, was not even consulted about the decision to use atom bombs although the selected targets fell within the area of his command! Gen. MacArthur was no pacifist. He was an arch right-winger. Yet he admitted during a press conference years later that: "We did not need the atomic Bombagainst Japan." [New York Times, 21 August 1963, p.30] Gen. MacArthur subsequently went on to add that by June 1945: "My staff was unanimous in believing Japan was on the point of collapse and surrender. I even directed that plans be drawn 'for a peaceful occupation of Japan' without further military operations." [Douglas MacArthur: Reminiscences, McGraw Hill Book Company, New York, 1964, p.260] Another critical voice was that of Gen. Dwight Eisenhower, Supreme Commander of the U.S. forces in Europe during World War II and later President of the United States from 1953 to 1960. Recounting his reactions, Gen. Eisenhower wrote in his memoirs that at the Potsdam Conference of Heads of Governments of USA, UK and USSR in July 1945: "I voiced to him [Stimson] my grave misgivings, first on the basis of my belief that Japan was already defeated and that dropping the [atom] bomb was completely unnecessary, and secondly because I thought that our country should avoid shocking world opinion by the use of such a weapon whose employment was, I thought, no longer mandatory as a measure to save American lives. It was my belief that Japan was, at that movement, seeking some way to surrender with a minimum loss of 'face'." [Dwight D. Eisenhower: Mandate for Change: 1953-1956, Doubleday & Company Inc., New York, 1963, pp. 312-313] Disinformation Campaign In order to quell the rising criticism against the atomic bombing and to hide the real facts from becoming public, the U.S. Administration carried out a massive disinformation campaign widely and repeatedly disseminating the untenable justification that President Truman had offered. (The brazen defense of the atomic bombing has continued without any let up.) At the same time the U.S. Administration kept doing everything in its power to suppress the real facts relating to the effects of the atomic bombing. The misinformation campaign is conducted in a very systematic way. After the surrender of Japan, U.S. armed forces occupied Japan on 2nd September 1945. Once the U.S. occupation got underway, they began to propagate that 'the atom bomb was dropped in order to end the Pacific War'. Accordingly, the idea that the atom bomb damages were 'a sacrifice that Japan simply had to accept' was spread and began to gain currency even among the Japanese. Simultaneously, the U.S. authorities stuck to the policy of strict secrecy on all aspects concerning the atom bomb. They went to the extent of issuing a press code in Japan on 19th September 1945 in order to suppress and play down the full story of the atom bomb damages. The press code imposed prior censorship on all radio broadcast and on newspapers and other print media. Therefore, except for a brief period before the press code was imposed, all accounts of atom bomb damages disappeared from newspapers, magazines and academic journals. In the process the Japanese people themselves remained largely ignorant of the extent of the atom bomb damages and about the condition of the 300,000 atomic bomb survivors--the hibakusha. This lack of awareness also prevented adequate voluntary help being extended to the hibukusha even within Japan. It appears that it was only in 1952, after Japan regained its independence, that a few photographs of the atomic bombings were published for the first time in Japan! If people within Japan were so ill-informed about the happenings in Hiroshima and Nagasaki because of strict censorship imposed by the U.S. occupation forces, how could people elsewhere, especially in the vast areas then under U.S. and British influence, be better informed? (Moreover, the untold atrocities [such as the blood-curdling Nanking massacre of 1937] committed by the Japanese Imperial Army on people in China, Korea, and the Philippines and elsewhere in South East Asia would have initially made people indifferent to the happenings on the Japanese mainland.) Earlier in November 1945, the U.S. occupation authorities went to the extent of confiscating a documentary entitled "The Effects of Atomic Bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki" that was produced by the Japanese Film Corporation during September-October 1945. They also prohibited further documentary filming by the Japanese. It was only after strong public pressure that in 1968 the U.S. Administration returned a 16-mm print of this documentary to Japan. However, because of restrictions imposed by the Japanese Government, no one in Japan, save a few medical personnel, has ever viewed the film in its entirety. The Japanese Government's attitude in this regard, to say the least, is rather perplexing. Is it not absolutely intriguing that the government of a country, which has been a victim of atomic bombing, should try to hide the bitter truth about the deadly effects of the atomic bombing from its own citizens and from people elsewhere? In fact since 1952, successive Japanese governments have been colluding with successive U.S. administrations to do precisely that. It has been the practice of the Japanese Government, which is intent on downplaying the effects of the atomic bombings, to send its representatives regularly to the Yasukuni Shrine, which venerates all of Japan's war dead including convicted war criminals. The shrine has attracted a lot of attention because it houses the remains of wartime Prime Minister General Hedeki Tojo and six others who were executed after being convicted as World War II criminals. The present Prime Minister, Junichiro Koizumi, visited the Shrine on 13th August 2001 to pay obeisance to their memory. The irony is that the same war criminals were tried and executed by the War Crimes Tribunal set up by the United States for crimes committed before and during World War II, including crimes committed against the U.S. prisoners of war. But successive U.S. administrations have not raised a murmur of protest against the Japanese governments' gesture of paying obeisance to the very Japanese war criminals prosecuted by the U.S.! The truth of the matter is that the same right-wing forces, which led Japan into its imperialistic adventure, are still very much in control of the Japanese government. On their part, the U.S. authorities had actually prosecuted very few of the war criminals; most of them - especially the big industrialists who had backed the bloody Japanese Imperialist adventure to the hilt - were clandestinely rehabilitated. The most shocking incident is the case concerning Unit 731, a Japanese army unit, which was engaged in research on germ warfare during 1930-45 using human beings, including U.S. prisoners of war, as guinea pigs. According to a report in a prominent U.S. magazine, during the occupation: "U.S. officials granted the Japanese unit members immunity from prosecution as war criminals in exchange for their laboratory records on germ warfare." [Newsweek, 19 April 1982, p.21] So much for the concern and eagerness being shown by the U.S. Administration to render retributive justice for violation of human rights! The Japanese Government while reacting to the macabre events of 11th September has completely desisted from making even a passing reference to the hideous way in which the people of Hiroshima and Nagasaki were subjected to a terrorist attack by the U.S. Administration. In fact the Japanese Prime Minister, Junichiro Koizumi, has maintained a studied silence on the matter. Reports show that even during his visit to the United States on 24th September 2001 no mention of the atomic bombings were ever made. Under the circumstances, Prime Minister Koizumi's silence on this vital issue itself speaks volumes. Drawing the Correct Lessons Had the horrors of Hiroshima and Nagasaki received better global coverage--even if it was only on a fraction of the scale that the coverage of the horrors in New York, Washington-DC and Pittsburgh are receiving today--perhaps the resulting revulsion against nuclear weapons may have made the world a far safer place to live! Although there may have been some relaxation in the news censorship after the U.S. granted independence to Japan in 1952, the entire truth about the effects of the atomic bombings have never been made public to date. On the other hand, the misleading official justification for the atomic attack has been repeatedly spread far and wide. The imposition of censorship by the U.S. Administration, particularly during the period of occupation, on all news relating to the effects of the atomic bombings was undoubtedly a calculated ploy on its part to give as little exposure as possible to the gruesome acts of terror in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. It was also a devious attempt on its part to conceal from the world's public the consequences of unleashing nuclear war in future. It is primarily due to the unrelenting struggle of the survivors of the atomic bombing and the groups and organisations supporting them that the facts about the horrors of Hiroshima and Nagasaki started slowly getting disseminated. It is that sustained effort that is influencing concerned people across the world to join the global movement for elimination of nuclear weapons. The wanton destruction of Hiroshima and Nagasaki was also the first salvo of the U.S. Administration in the unfolding Cold War with the Soviet Union. Aiding and abetting all kinds of rogue elements across the globe to serve its ends was an integral part of that anti-Communist agenda. The self-appointed defenders of 'democracy, freedom and liberty' had no compunctions in funding and arming self-seeking disparate groups--which defended anything but democracy, freedom and liberty--to act as its bulwarks to suppress anti-fascist and anti-colonial national liberation movements that became widespread at the end of the Second World War. The U.S. Administration gave no thought to the recoiling (or what is now termed as "blow-back") effect of that questionable strategy which served its short-term goal. At worst, in the long run, such carefully nurtured Frankenstein forces was expected to serve as permanent "enemies" or "whipping boys" for the burgeoning military-industrial complex. Although the probability of such forces striking at the U.S. mainland was not altogether discounted, the chances of such a strike ever taking place was thought to be beyond the realm of possibility. The people in the United States and elsewhere who have supported such a bizarre strategy are now forced to learn the hard way. It is hoped that they draw the correct lessons. The several trillions of dollars misspent in the last fifty years on the vast global "defense" network to fight its "enemies" could not protect the U.S. from a simple strategy devised by a thoughtless suicide squad. If, instead of creating and fighting "enemies", the U.S. Administration had gone about making friends, the history of the world would have been very different. Successive U.S. Administrations have had ample opportunity to spend the vast human and material resources at its disposal in far more useful ways than on militarism. But it never chose to do so. In this context it would be worthwhile to recall the fervent hope expressed by the former U.S. President General Eisenhower during a speech before the American Society of Newspaper Editors on 16th April 1953 soon after he had assumed the presidency. He said: "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and not fed, those who are cold and not clothed. "This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its labourers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children." He further added: "This Government is ready to ask its people to join with all nations in devoting a substantial percentage of the savings achieved by disarmament to a fund for world aid and reconstruction "The monuments to this new kind of war would be these: roads and schools, hospitals and homes, food and health "We are ready, in short, to dedicate our strength to serving the needs, rather than the fears of the world" [Dwight Eisenhower: Mandate for Change, Signet, New York, 1965, pp.189-192] As to who prevented the hopes expressed by President Eisenhower from being fulfilled is something that the people of the United States will have to deeply ponder over. Democracy, liberty and freedom have to be defended in deed not with words or swords. Integral to lasting democracy, liberty and freedom is banishment of poverty, ill-health, illiteracy, superstitious beliefs and backwardness on the one hand, and facilitating the creation of institutions that defend those laudable values on the other. Criminals and terrorists in today's world cannot prosper or become a major threat to democracy, liberty and freedom unless one or more States or influential sections within those States directly or indirectly sponsors them. Those who have sowed the poisonous seeds cannot disown responsibility for the bitter fruits. Why the U.S. Administration has always chosen to encourage and support the most retrograde forces in countries where it has chosen to intervene is something that needs to be examined more thoroughly. CP N.D. Jayaprakash is a member of the Delhi Science Forum, an anti-nuclear weapons group. He lives in New Delhi, India. This is the first part of a two-part essay. FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Press contact: Thomas B. Cochran, Robert S. Norris, or Elliott Negin at 202-289-6868; or Christopher Paine at 804-244-5013 If you are not a member of the press, please write to us at nrdcinfo@nrdc.org or see our contact page. Faking Nuclear Restraint: The Bush Administration's Secret Plan For Strengthening U.S. Nuclear Forces WASHINGTON (February 13, 2002) -- After a year in office the Bush administration has completed the Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) mandated by Congress in the fall of 2000. The NPR establishes the broad outline of Pentagon planning for U.S. nuclear strategy, force levels and infrastructure for the next 10 years and beyond. It also endorses significant revisions to the nuclear war planning process to enhance its flexibility and responsiveness, which would allow the Pentagon to generate new nuclear attack plans and have them approved quickly in a crisis. The administration has provided the public with a cursory view of the NPR, but the entire report remains secret. The NPR has received little attention from the news media and even less from analysts. This is unfortunate. The logic and assumptions underlying the administration's hostility to arms control, and its infatuation with nuclear weapons, deserve vigorous public scrutiny and debate. Not since the resurgence of the Cold War in Ronald Reagan's first term has there been such an emphasis on nuclear weapons in U.S. defense strategy. Behind the administration's rhetorical mask of post Cold War restraint lie expansive plans to revitalize U.S. nuclear forces, and all the elements that support them, within a so-called "New Triad" of capabilities that combine nuclear and conventional offensive strikes with missile defenses and nuclear weapons infrastructure. NRDC has learned from a variety of sources more about the likely implications of this review for the evolution of the U.S. nuclear posture. Words and phrases in quotation marks are said to be from the NPR or the Department of Defense (DOD) special briefing on the NPR: Nuclear Weapons Forever? * The Bush administration assumes that nuclear weapons will be part of U.S. military forces at least for the next 50 years. Starting from this premise it is planning an extensive and expensive series of programs to sustain and modernize the existing force and to begin studies for a new ICBM to be operational in 2020, a new SLBM and SSBN in 2030, and a new heavy bomber in 2040, as well as new warheads for all of them. Nuclear weapons will continue to play a "critical role" because they possess "unique properties" that provide "credible military options" for holding at risk "a wide range of target types" important to a potential adversary's threatened use of "weapons of mass destruction" or "large-scale conventional military force." * The NPR uses terminology from the September 2001 Quadrennial Defense Review, which states the purpose of possessing nuclear weapons is fourfold: to "assure allies and friends," "dissuade competitors," "deter aggressors" and "defeat enemies." * The Bush administration will not eliminate the relatively inflexible nuclear "counterforce" Major Attack Options that characterized the Cold War nuclear planning process, despite the administration's pronouncements about being in a post-Cold War world. Instead, the administration will scale the attack options to the size required to preempt opposing threats, and supplement them by an "adaptive planning" process that anticipates a range of nuclear contingencies and is flexible enough to respond quickly where and when a crisis occurs. The Numbers Game * The United States is "adjusting its immediate nuclear force requirements" for "operationally deployed forces" downward, from 8,000 warheads today to 3,800 in 2007, in recognition of the changed relationship with Russia, but "Russia's nuclear forces and programs remain a concern." Barring unforeseen adverse developments, the NPR's eventual "goal" is to reach the level of 1,700 to 2,200 "operationally deployed weapons" in 2012. * Over the next 10 years, the Bush administration's plans call for the United States to retain a total stockpile of intact nuclear weapons and weapon components that is roughly seven to nine times larger than the publicly stated goal of 1,700 to 2,200 "operationally deployed weapons." This is an accounting system worthy of Enron. The operationally deployed weapons are only the visible portion of a huge, hidden arsenal. To the "accountable" tally of 2,200 one must add the following: * about 240 missile warheads on two Trident submarines in overhaul at any given time; * about 1,350 strategic missile and bomber warheads in the "responsive force;" * about 800 "nonstrategic" bombs assigned to US/NATO "dual-capable" aircraft; * about 320 "nonstrategic" sea-launched cruise missile warheads in the "responsive force;" * about 160 "spare" strategic and nonstrategic warheads; * about 4,900 intact warheads in the "inactive reserve" stockpile; equals * about 7,800 intact warheads; plus * about 5,000 stored plutonium "primary" and HEU "secondary" components that could be reassembled into weapons. In other words, the Bush administration is actually planning to retain the potential to deploy not 1,700 to 2,200 nuclear weapons, but as many as 15,000. Future Plans * The administration plans to deactivate the MX/Peacekeeper ICBMs in phases over a three-year period beginning October 1, 2002. It will withdraw them in conjunction with introducing Trident II missiles into the Pacific. In the order of their conversion to Trident IIs, the Pacific fleet SSBNs are the Alaska (SSBN-732), Nevada (SSBN-733), Henry M. Jackson (SSBN-730), and Alabama (SSBN-731). Current plans call for the MX silos to be retained, rather than destroyed as specified in the SALT and START treaties. MX missile stages and nuclear warheads will also be retained. * The administration plans to cut the number of Trident ballistic missile submarines from 18 to 14 by FY2007 (of which two in overhaul at any given time will not be considered part of the "operationally deployed force"). Four Trident SSBNs (Ohio, Michigan, Florida, Georgia ) will be converted to each carry up to 154 conventional cruise missiles. The submarines also may be used to support Special Operations Forces. There is $1 billion in the FY 2003 budget to begin the conversion. The submarines would remain accountable under the START I Treaty, though they will not carry SLBMs or the 768 warheads attributed to them. * After these initial modest force reductions, the NPR provides that "no additional strategic delivery platforms are scheduled to be eliminated from strategic service." * Each of the 500 Minuteman III ICBMs to be retained and modernized under the administration's plan will be equipped with a single reentry vehicle/warhead combination, either the Mk12A/W78 or a Mk21/W87. The Safety-Enhanced Reentry Vehicle (SERV) program permits the MM III to carry the Mk21. NRDC estimates that the 150 Minuteman IIIs at Minot AFB and 150 at Malmstrom AFB would carry the W78, while 150 Minuteman IIIs at F. E. Warren AFB and 50 more at Malmstrom would carry the W-87. * The Pentagon is considering extending the life of the dual-capable F-16C/D and F-15E or to make some of the new Joint Strike Fighters nuclear capable. * In the event of an international crisis, "the U.S. may need to revise its nuclear force levels and posture" by returning weapons from what henceforth will be labeled a "responsive" reserve back to the "operationally deployed" force. This "uploading" could be accomplished in a period ranging from days or weeks to months or years, depending on the particular weapon system. Satellites, Intelligence and C3 * The administration believes that our military satellites are not "optimized" for the "current and developing mobile target challenge." Consequently, the DOD plans to develop extensive new real-time intelligence systems and long-range precision strike weapons to "dissuade a potential adversary from investing heavily in mobile ballistic missiles" or other "threatening capabilities." Planned improvements would provide the capability to rapidly locate and track mobile targets "from the time they deploy from garrison until they return." * The administration will continue to invest in better intelligence capabilities for "Information Operations targeting, weaponeering, and strike execution," including better data on "adversary computer local area networks" and "other command and control systems." * The current nuclear command and control system architecture will be expanded "to a true C2 conferencing system" through deployment later in the decade of new secure wideband and survivable Extremely High Frequency satellite communication systems. Missile Defense * The administration believes that deploying missile defenses will increase the United States' ability to "counteract WMD-backed coercive threats" by defeating small-scale missile attacks intended to coerce the United States into abandoning an embattled "ally or friend." * The administration plans to integrate missile defense into the New Triad, which will enhance the United States' ability "to use its power projection forces" by "improving the ability to counterattack an enemy," and may also provide the president with "an option to manage a crisis" involving "one or more" opponents with weapons of mass destruction. * The administration believes that missile defenses can have a "dissuasive effect" on potential adversaries by making it "more arduous and costly for an adversary to compete militarily with or wage war against the United States." * The administration is considering an "emergency missile defense capability" for the 2003-2008 time period consisting of a single Airborne Laser for "limited operations" against "ballistic missiles of all ranges," a "rudimentary" Alaska-based midcourse interceptor system against "longer-range threats," and a sea-based Aegis system with "rudimentary midcourse capability" against "short-to-medium range threats." * Based on the technical progress achieved with these early systems, the United States could deploy "operational capabilities" in the 2006-2008 time frame, including two to three Airborne Laser aircraft, "additional" ground-based midcourse sites, four sea-based midcourse ships, and "terminal" defense systems, such as the PAC-3 (an upgraded version of the Patriot "Scudbuster" missile that missed most of its targets in the 1991 Persian Gulf War) and the Theater High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) system, slated for deployment by 2008. The Nuclear Complex and Infrastructure * The administration plans to revitalize U.S. nuclear infrastructure with the capacity to: upgrade existing systems, "surge" production of weapons, and develop and field "entirely new systems." All of this is designed to "discourage" other countries from "competing militarily with the United States." * The administration believes that the current arsenal -- a subset of what was in place at the end of the Cold War -- is not what is needed for the future. That arsenal was developed and deployed mainly to deter the former Soviet Union and to carry out the "Single Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP)." In the administration's view, significantly modified and quite possibly new nuclear warheads will be required to accomplish new military missions, and thus the NPR calls for a revitalized nuclear weapon complex that could, if directed, design, develop, manufacture and certify new warheads. The administration believes that the development of this arsenal must begin now because it will take much longer than a decade to complete. This arsenal would have the capability to target and destroy mobile and re-locatable targets and hard and deeply buried targets. * Plans are underway to expand the capacity and capability of the Department of Energy's National Nuclear Security Administration's (NNSA) Pantex nuclear weapons assembly-disassembly plant near Amarillo, Texas, to meet a planned workload of some 600 warheads (assembled or dismantled) per year, up from the current capacity of 350 warheads per year. * For the "long term," the NPR projects the need for "a new modern production facility" to deal with the "large-scale replacement" of plutonium components and "new production." The NNSA is "accelerating preliminary design work" on a "modern pit manufacturing facility" so that new production capacity can be "brought on line when it is needed." * The NNSA is embarked on a seven- to eight-year project to expand the capacity and capability of the Y-12 Plant at Oak Ridge, Tennessee, to meet the planned workload for replacing nuclear warhead secondary stages and other uranium components. * The NNSA is reestablishing advanced warhead concept design teams at each of the three design laboratories -- Los Alamos, Sandia, and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories -- "to energize design work on advanced concepts." This initiative will focus on "evolving DOD requirements," including nuclear weapons to defeat "Hardened and Deeply Buried Targets" and "Agent Defeat Weapons" for attacking chemical and biological warfare sites, and to reduce collateral damage via improved accuracy and variable and reduced yields. * The NNSA is launching a program to enhance nuclear explosive test readiness at the Nevada Test Site by "replacing key underground-test-unique components," modernizing test diagnostic capabilities, augmenting key personnel, increasing their proficiency in underground test operations, conducting "test-related exercises of appropriate fidelity," and shortening the time required to show "regulatory and safety compliance." Spinning the Nuclear Posture Review While Violating U.S. Treaty Commitments Administration officials have sought to cast the NPR as a watershed step in breaking with the Cold War past. As Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld stated in the publicly released foreword: "First and foremost, the Nuclear Posture Review puts the Cold War practices related to planning for strategic forces behind us.... As a result of this review, the U.S. will no longer plan, size or sustain its forces as Russia presented merely a smaller version of the threat posed by the former Soviet Union." In fact, a fully informed analysis of the NPR suggests that far more has been retained than discarded from the Cold War's doctrine and practice regarding nuclear weapons, and the break is not nearly as clean as suggested. Moreover, a strong case can be made that the nuclear weapons policies and programs laid out in the NPR effectively preclude further U.S. "good faith" participation in international negotiations on nuclear disarmament. Good faith participation in such negotiations, leading to the achievement of "effective measures" (such as the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty) "relating to cessation of the nuclear arms race at an early date and to nuclear disarmament," is a legal and political obligation of all parties under Article VI of the nearly universal nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) that entered into force in 1970. The Bush administration posture of avoiding further binding legal constraints on the U.S. nuclear arsenal, while pursuing the reinvigoration of the U.S. nuclear weapons production complex and the development of new nuclear weapons, will be viewed by many nations as a blatant breach of the "good faith" negotiating standard under the treaty, and tantamount to a U.S. "breakout" from the NPT. U.S. Nuclear Forces (2002-2012) Today there are an estimated 10,650 intact nuclear warheads in the U.S. stockpile (See Table 1). In addition, there are in storage at Pantex and Oak Ridge, respectively, approximately 5,000 plutonium pits and approximately the same number of canned subassemblies, i.e., thermonuclear secondaries, which are retained as a "strategic reserve. "there are another 7,000 pits at Pantex that have been declared excess from warheads dismantled during the first Bush and Clinton administrations. The 10,650 intact warheads and the 5,000 "strategic reserve" pits so far have not been included in the Bush administration plans for nuclear reductions. What will change is how they are counted. The Departments of Defense and Energy characterize the intact nuclear warheads in the stockpile as either active or inactive. * Active warheads are maintained in a ready-for-use status with tritium and other limited life components installed. * Inactive warheads do not have limited life components installed, and may not have the latest warhead modifications. Currently there are approximately 8,000 active warheads and approximately 2,700 inactive warheads in the U.S. stockpile, according to NRDC estimates. The Pentagon also characterizes its nuclear forces as either strategic or non-strategic. The strategic forces comprise intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and heavy bombers -- the B-52s and B-2s. NRDC estimates that there are approximately 6,800 active strategic nuclear weapons in the U.S. arsenal today and that there are about 1,160 active non-strategic warheads (See Table 1). With the issuance of the NPR some new terms have been introduced into this special lexicon that legislators and reporters should be sensitive to as they analyze this administration's policies and plans. The active warhead inventory is now broken down into deployed warheads, responsive force warheads, and spares. Deployed warheads consist of " operationally deployed warheads" and those associated with weapon systems in overhaul. "Responsive force warheads" consist of active warheads not on deployed systems. These are kept in secure storage, but are available to be returned to the operationally deployed force to meet some contingency. Depending on the particular weapon system this may take days, weeks, months, or as long as a year or more. For example, if Russia were to deploy forces that the United States determined to be hostile and aggressive, the option is there to reintroduce ICBM or SLBM warheads and/or bomber weapons back into service. Finally, there are a number of spare warheads that are part of the "active," but not "operational" inventory. While each weapon system and warhead type is different, we estimate that the number of spares is about 5 percent to 10 percent of the number of "operational" warheads. Unlike the counting rules agreed to in past SALT and START treaties, warheads removed from weapon systems in overhaul are not included in the projected level of ~3,800 in 2007 and the goal of 1,700 to 2,000 warheads by 2012. Only operationally deployed warheads are counted. The Bush administration's proposed stockpile "reductions" are to be implemented in two phases, the first by FY 2007 with "operationally deployed" warheads reduced to ~3,800, and a second step by 2012 to 1,700 to 2,200 warheads. The main actions are retirement of the MX/Peacekeeper, removal of four Trident submarines from strategic service, and the downloading of warheads on deployed ICBMs and SLBMs. Table 2 is our estimate of what an operationally deployed force of 3,800 warheads might look like with 1,400 warheads transferred to the responsive force and 1,000 to the inactive category. As can be seen by comparing Tables 1 and 2, the total number of warheads remains essentially the same. While there are no treaty requirements or bilateral agreements calling for the elimination of warheads, the U.S. Senate attached the following "condition" in July 1992 to its Resolution of Ratification for the START I Treaty: "Inasmuch as the prospect of a loss of control of nuclear weapons or fissile material in the former Soviet Union could pose a serious threat to the United States and to international peace and security, in connection with any further agreement reducing strategic offensive arms, the President shall seek an appropriate arrangement, including the use of reciprocal inspections, data exchanges, and other cooperative measures, to monitor -- (A) the numbers of nuclear stockpile weapons on the territory of the parties to this Treaty; and (B) the location and [fissile material] inventory of facilities on the territory of the parties to this treaty capable of producing or processing significant quantities of fissile materials. The Bush administration's plans as laid out in the NPR for further reductions in strategic arms, which the administration has said will be codified in some kind of formal "agreement" with Russia, make no provision for the measures mandated by the Senate in 1992, and would appear to contravene the so-called "Biden Condition," named after its primary sponsor, Delaware Sen. Joseph Biden. Table 3 is our estimate of what an operationally deployed force of 2,200 warheads might look like in 2012. This was accomplished by further downloading SLBMs and shifting warheads to the responsive force and inactive warhead category. We conclude that under current plans there will be few, if any, real reductions in the size of the total stockpile of active and inactive warheads in the U.S. arsenal between 2002 and 2012 (compare Table 1 and 3). In a decade with only one warhead type scheduled for retirement (approximately 600 W62s), and with a modest new production capability planned, the number will not decrease significantly. The Natural Resources Defense Council is a national, non-profit organization of scientists, lawyers and environmental specialists dedicated to protecting public health and the environment. Founded in 1970, NRDC has more than 500,000 members nationwide, served from offices in New York, Washington, Los Angeles and San Francisco. Additional Downloadable Materials for the Press Table 1. Nuclear Forces (January 2002) in PDF format, 6k. Table 2. Nuclear Forces (end-FY 2006; conceptual) in PDF format, 6k. Table 3. Nuclear Forces (2012; Conceptual) in PDF format, 6k.
Greg Mello Los Alamos Study Group 212 East Marcy Street, #10 Santa Fe, NM 87501 505-982-7747 voice 505-982-8502 fax gmello@lasg.org From World awash in stolen nuclear material Thursday, March 7, 2002 at 17:30 JST SAN FRANCISCO - International researchers have compiled what they say is the world's most complete database of lost, stolen and misplaced nuclear material - depicting a world awash in weapons-grade uranium and plutonium that nobody can account for. "It truly is frightening," Lyudmila Zaitseva, a visiting fellow at Stanford University's Institute for International Studies, said on Wednesday. "I think this is the tip of the iceberg." Stanford announced its database as U.S. senators held a hearing in Washington to assess the threat of "dirty bombs," or radioactive material dispersed by conventional explosives. The Stanford program, dubbed the Database on Nuclear Smuggling, Theft and Orphan Radiation Sources, is intended to help governments and international agencies track wayward nuclear material worldwide, supplementing existing national programs that often fail to share information. The project took on added urgency following the Sept 11 attacks on New York and Washington, which spurred fears that extremists might seek to use nuclear weapons in the future. "It blows the mind, the lack of information," said George Bunn, a veteran arms control negotiator and a member of the database group. "What we're trying to say is: 'What are the facts?"' The facts, even on cursory examination, are chilling. Zaitseva said that, over the past 10 years, at least 40 kg of weapons-usable uranium and plutonium had been stolen from poorly protected nuclear facilities in the former Soviet Union. While most of this material subsequently was retrieved, at least 2 kg of highly enriched uranium stolen from a reactor in Georgia remains missing. Other thefts have included several fuel rods that disappeared from a research reactor in the Congo in the mid-1990s. While one of these fuel rods later resurfaced in Italy - reportedly in the hands of the Mafia - the other has not been found. The Stanford group, led by nuclear physicist and arms control researcher Friedrich Steinhausler, decided to form its database after becoming alarmed over the patchy nature of most of the available information. Combining data from two existing unclassified databases and adding new information from sources ranging from government agencies to local media reports, the team has evaluated each entry for accuracy and probability. An expert at the Federation of American Scientists, the oldest U.S. arms control group, welcomed the establishment of the database, saying it could play a crucial role in helping governments ascertain the real level of nuclear threat. "This is a smart step," said Michael Levi, director of the group's Strategic Security Project. "Knowing what's out there is the first step to bringing it back in." The database includes illicitly obtained weapons-grade nuclear material as well as "orphaned" radiation sources - scientific or medical material that may have been lost, misplaced or simply thrown away but which still poses a health and security threat. Steinhausler said the database would be open only to approved researchers, and that the Stanford group was beginning to contact government agencies in the United States and Europe about sharing information to build more effective international supervision of nuclear material. "We cannot supply the means to improve the situation," Steinhausler said in a statement. "We're pinpointing weaknesses and loopholes and saying, 'Do something about it.'" Zaitseva, visiting Stanford from the Kazakhstan National Nuclear Center, said the database was helping to build a dim picture of the market for stolen uranium, plutonium, and other dangerous materials. But she added that while in many cases those behind nuclear thefts can be identified, the ultimate destination of the nuclear material has remained a mystery. "We haven't found a single occasion in which the actual end users have been caught," Zaitseva said. "We can only guess by the routes where the material is going. We can't say for sure if it is Iraq, Iran, North Korea, al Qaeda or Hezbollah. We can only make assumptions." She added that the dangers of an unsupervised, underground market in nuclear material were likely to grow, noting that a U.S.-sponsored program to secure nuclear components in the former Soviet Union thus far had only locked up about a third of an estimated 600 tons of weapons-usable material. "It's just not protected," she said. "This is hot stuff. If you steal 20 kilograms of that material, you can build a nuclear weapon." (Compiled from wire reports) Click the link below to view this article and related discussions on Japan Today http://www.japantoday.com/e/?content=news&id=204887
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